CBS News News
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Prediction markets for CBS News
Will Trump balance the U.S. budget before his term ends?
Feb 7, 9:09 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM
2.63%chance
7429608
OptionVotes
6082
164
OptionProbability
56
23
9
5
3
2
2
OptionProbability
85
79
50
44
36
27
Will the first mention of Manifold in mainstream news be positive?
Sep 7, 1:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
47.01%chance
261841
OptionVotes
1017
975
Will Trump announce before the midterms that US is pulling out of NATO?
Jan 19, 9:56 PMNov 2, 11:59 PM
15.92%chance
91655
OptionVotes
2298
435
Will an all AI system be used for real-time fact checking during a televised US presidential debate before 2029?
Jun 6, 10:21 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
32.3%chance
271379
OptionVotes
1177
880
OptionProbability
78
65
58
50
47
46
45
45
42
41
41
40
32
27
19
17
12
12
9
9
Bari Weiss remains CBS News editor-in-chief through 2026?
Oct 22, 10:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
54.64%chance
5195
OptionVotes
1098
911
OptionVotes
1061
942
OptionVotes
411
361
Any Twitter Files figure becomes 60 Minutes correspondent before July 2026?
Oct 6, 6:19 PMJul 1, 5:47 AM
47.05%chance
4130
OptionVotes
106
94
Bari Weiss out as CBS News editor-in-chief before July 2026?
Oct 3, 3:14 AMJul 1, 3:59 AM
22.06%chance
5116
OptionVotes
188
53