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Top stories

White House Economists Warn Tariffs Threaten Near-Term U.S. Growth

White House Economists Warn Tariffs Threaten Near-Term U.S. Growth

Authors

5

5 months ago

Prediction markets for CEA

If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?

Mar 10, 5:16 AMNov 4, 4:59 AM

31.33%chance

526245516

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6901

6797

When will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine?

Jun 8, 9:11 PMJan 16, 7:59 AM

160101371

OptionProbability

Before 2028-01-01

Before 2027-07-01

Before 2027-01-01

Before 2026-07-01

Before 2025-01-01

Before 2025-07-01

Before 2026-01-01

82

79

41

17

0

0

0

[ACX 2026] Will Keir Starmer cease to be Prime Minister of the UK during 2026?

Jan 6, 10:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.44%chance

6316643

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6191

3158

Will the majority of Western democracies cease to be de facto democratic by 2034?

Jun 11, 5:42 AMMar 1, 12:59 PM

5%chance

918354

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2482

1495

[ACX 2026] Will Donald Trump cease to exercise presidential powers for 48 hours during 2026?

Jan 6, 11:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14%chance

206151

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5173

4370

[ACX 2026] Will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be Prime Minister of Israel during 2026?

Jan 6, 10:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.56%chance

171272

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6031

4424

[ACX 2026] Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2027?

Jan 6, 10:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.48%chance

131203

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6073

4454

CEA will run an EAG in 2030

Jul 29, 6:17 PMAug 5, 10:59 PM

74.31%chance

7965

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1701

588

Will Vox write an article about a scandal at CEA before end of 2026?

Feb 13, 7:46 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

26.13%chance

10742

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1016

375

Will I think that CEA has done a significantly bad thing before end of 2026?

Feb 13, 7:49 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

34.77%chance

11410

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1185

881

Will NYT write an article about a scandal at CEA before end of 2026?

Feb 13, 7:48 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

37.16%chance

12264

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1003

999

[ACX 2026] Will there be a ceasefire in the Sudanese Civil War during 2026?

Jan 6, 10:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.5%chance

8201

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5180

4868

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
Tariffs
Economics
Politics
White House Economists Warn Tariffs Threaten Near-Term U.S. Growth
Authors
5
5 months ago

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