CFTC News

CFTC Deploys Nasdaq Surveillance Platform to Police Expanding Crypto Markets

10 months ago

Johnson Exit Leaves CFTC With Single Commissioner as Crypto Industry Pressures Congress

US Legislation

US Gov Appointments

Regulation

Johnson Exit Leaves CFTC With Single Commissioner as Crypto Industry Pressures Congress

10 months ago

CFTC Clarifies FBOT Rules, Opening U.S. Access to Offshore Crypto Exchanges

Law

Regulation

Politics

CFTC Clarifies FBOT Rules, Opening U.S. Access to Offshore Crypto Exchanges

10 months ago

Will the CFTC permit real-money prediction markets on the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Apr 16, 9:58 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

81.48%chance

3623537

OptionVotes

YES

2327

418

Will the Supreme Court rule on PredictIt vs. CFTC before 2026?

Nov 14, 2:11 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

7.03%chance

274159

OptionVotes

YES

2276

819

Will Polymarket get investigated by the CFTC again before 2027?

Jul 30, 1:31 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

12.08%chance

253847

OptionVotes

YES

2698

371

When will a major new policy on prediction markets be released by CFTC?

Apr 3, 1:18 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

82412

OptionProbability

Before the end of Apr 2025

Before the end of Jan 2025

Before the end of Feb 2025

Before the end of Mar 2025

Before the end of April 2024

Before the end of May 2024

Before the end of Jun 2024

Before the end of July 2024

Before the end of Aug 2024

Before the end of Sep 2024

Before the end of Nov 2024

Before the end of Dec 2024

Will CFTC commissioner Caroline Pham create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Jan 25, 5:36 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

10.61%chance

171122

OptionVotes

YES

1697

866

Will a CFTC exchange be clearing sports outcome contracts on...?

Sep 8, 6:37 PMJan 2, 7:31 PM

1420

OptionProbability

Jan 1, 2026

Jan 1, 2027

Jan 1, 2028

Jan 1, 2029

Jan 1, 2030

Will it be easy to get a license as a Designated Contract Market through the CFTC in 2030?

Jan 22, 2:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.07%chance

3381

OptionVotes

YES

188

Conditional on prediction markets becoming mostly legal in the US by 2030, was it because commissioners at the CFTC changed their mind?

Jan 31, 9:49 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.74%chance

12239

OptionVotes

YES

1117

934

Will the CFTC clear Polymarket for US traders by end of 2027?

Jun 15, 9:39 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.3%chance

380

OptionVotes

YES

148

Will Smarkets get approved as a DCM by the CFTC by EOY?

Mar 5, 6:23 PMDec 31, 7:23 PM

55.16%chance

130

OptionVotes

YES

111

Will a DCM be approved in <180 days by the CFTC before 2029?

Mar 5, 6:13 PMDec 31, 7:13 PM

40.98%chance

120

OptionVotes

YES

120

Will the CFTC win their case against Minnesota?

May 21, 8:11 PMDec 31, 9:11 PM

77.31%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

110

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Will the CFTC permit real-money prediction markets on the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Will the Supreme Court rule on PredictIt vs. CFTC before 2026?

Will Polymarket get investigated by the CFTC again before 2027?

When will a major new policy on prediction markets be released by CFTC?

Will CFTC commissioner Caroline Pham create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Will a CFTC exchange be clearing sports outcome contracts on...?

Will it be easy to get a license as a Designated Contract Market through the CFTC in 2030?

Conditional on prediction markets becoming mostly legal in the US by 2030, was it because commissioners at the CFTC changed their mind?

Will the CFTC clear Polymarket for US traders by end of 2027?

Will Smarkets get approved as a DCM by the CFTC by EOY?

Will a DCM be approved in <180 days by the CFTC before 2029?

Will the CFTC win their case against Minnesota?

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