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Prediction markets for Channel 12
GutsickGibbon has agreed to teach evolution to creationist Will Duffy. Will Pastor Duffy change his mind? (Rules below)
Feb 27, 12:20 AMNov 1, 9:41 PM
46.63%chance
213403
OptionVotes
1302
613
Will hemp-derived CBN sleep products still be federally legal as “hemp” on Nov 12, 2026?
Nov 13, 4:55 AMNov 12, 4:47 AM
88.14%chance
193218
OptionVotes
2726
367
Netflix announces project about October 2025 Louvre heist before 2027?
Oct 20, 5:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
19.09%chance
17906
OptionVotes
206
49
Will "Fail safe(r) at alignment by channeling rewar..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
May 24, 4:22 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
9.22%chance
2510
OptionVotes
1500
936
Will my new YouTube channel (MyCoJo) receive 30,000 views by December 31, 2026? (12/31/26)
Oct 9, 10:42 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
26.47%chance
3117
OptionVotes
167
60
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