ChatGPT News

Elon Musk’s xAI Sought Zuckerberg’s Support for $97.4 Billion OpenAI Bid; Legal Battle Over Documents Ensues

1 year ago

5 years from now, will ChatGPT be seen as an "iPhone moment?"

Mar 27, 5:41 AMMar 28, 4:59 AM

90.13%chance

39353541

OptionVotes

YES

2880

1426

Will ChatGPT have ads before the end of 2026?

Dec 4, 3:58 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

97.69%chance

6018576

OptionVotes

YES

6511

154

Will chatGPT fall below 75% of AI Chatbot market share in 2026?

Dec 6, 11:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

86.11%chance

419038

OptionVotes

YES

2490

402

Will another "ChatGPT moment" or AI panic happen before an AI bust?

Aug 22, 9:02 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

464476

OptionProbability

Explosion of interest and/or investment in AI will happen first

Deflation of interest in and/or investment in AI will happen first

Neither will happen before 2100

Will ChatGPT Plus users have unavoidable ads before the end of 2026?

Dec 4, 3:58 AMJan 1, 3:56 AM

7.68%chance

204426

OptionVotes

YES

3467

288

ChatGPT-induced psychosis added to DSM-6 by December 31, 2030

Jul 17, 4:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.1%chance

203869

OptionVotes

YES

2468

405

ChatGPT (Or LLMs really) have discovered regularities in language that humans are not aware of

Mar 24, 9:48 AMMar 24, 11:15 AM

80.36%chance

332681

OptionVotes

YES

1447

738

Will chatgpt stop calling itself a "chatbot" by 2027?

Jan 26, 9:18 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

35.19%chance

451047

OptionVotes

YES

1076

802

Will Joe Biden have been debriefed about AI risks between chatGPT’s launch and the launch of GPT-4?

Mar 4, 9:14 AMJan 1, 3:59 AM

38.64%chance

16515

OptionVotes

YES

173

101

Will ChatGPT recommend products of ad partners over similar products from companies that don't buy ads?

Jan 16, 11:00 PMJan 16, 10:34 PM

56.9%chance

6341

OptionVotes

YES

1149

870

Will "So You Think You've Awoken ChatGPT" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Jul 11, 1:03 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

23.88%chance

5176

OptionVotes

YES

1096

569

Will "On "ChatGPT Psychosis" and LLM Sycophancy" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Jul 24, 2:49 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

17.29%chance

3126

OptionVotes

YES

1036

807

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Aug 24, 2025
Aug 24, 2025
Law
Business
AI
Elon Musk’s xAI Sought Zuckerberg’s Support for $97.4 Billion OpenAI Bid; Legal Battle Over Documents Ensues
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1 year ago

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5 years from now, will ChatGPT be seen as an "iPhone moment?"

Will ChatGPT have ads before the end of 2026?

Will chatGPT fall below 75% of AI Chatbot market share in 2026?

Will another "ChatGPT moment" or AI panic happen before an AI bust?

Will ChatGPT Plus users have unavoidable ads before the end of 2026?

ChatGPT-induced psychosis added to DSM-6 by December 31, 2030

ChatGPT (Or LLMs really) have discovered regularities in language that humans are not aware of

Will chatgpt stop calling itself a "chatbot" by 2027?

Will Joe Biden have been debriefed about AI risks between chatGPT’s launch and the launch of GPT-4?

Will ChatGPT recommend products of ad partners over similar products from companies that don't buy ads?

Will "So You Think You've Awoken ChatGPT" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Will "On "ChatGPT Psychosis" and LLM Sycophancy" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

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