ChatGPT News

Elon Musk’s xAI Sought Zuckerberg’s Support for $97.4 Billion OpenAI Bid; Legal Battle Over Documents Ensues

5 months ago

5 years from now, will ChatGPT be seen as an "iPhone moment?"

Mar 27, 5:41 AMMar 28, 4:59 AM

86.54%chance

38852582

OptionVotes

YES

2160

1520

Will consumer AI platforms (ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, etc) face an ‘economic blackout’ protest against the US govt?

Jan 25, 8:48 PMJul 30, 10:59 PM

8.51%chance

7431502

OptionVotes

YES

32786

3050

Will ChatGPT have ads before the end of 2026?

Dec 4, 3:58 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

98.03%chance

5617628

OptionVotes

YES

7059

142

Will ChatGPT Plus users have unavoidable ads before the end of 2026?

Dec 4, 3:58 AMJan 1, 3:56 AM

7.87%chance

184381

OptionVotes

YES

3422

292

ChatGPT-induced psychosis added to DSM-6 by December 31, 2030

Jul 17, 4:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.1%chance

203869

OptionVotes

YES

2468

405

ChatGPT (Or LLMs really) have discovered regularities in language that humans are not aware of

Mar 24, 9:48 AMMar 24, 11:15 AM

83.55%chance

332631

OptionVotes

YES

1675

688

Will chatGPT fall below 75% of AI Chatbot market share in 2026?

Dec 6, 11:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

80%chance

212368

OptionVotes

YES

2000

500

Will chatgpt stop calling itself a "chatbot" by 2027?

Jan 26, 9:18 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

40.08%chance

39892

OptionVotes

YES

1143

691

Will Joe Biden have been debriefed about AI risks between chatGPT’s launch and the launch of GPT-4?

Mar 4, 9:14 AMJan 1, 3:59 AM

38.64%chance

16515

OptionVotes

YES

173

101

Will ChatGPT recommend products of ad partners over similar products from companies that don't buy ads?

Jan 16, 11:00 PMJan 16, 10:34 PM

56.9%chance

6341

OptionVotes

YES

1149

870

Will "So You Think You've Awoken ChatGPT" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Jul 11, 1:03 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

23.88%chance

5176

OptionVotes

YES

1096

569

Will "On "ChatGPT Psychosis" and LLM Sycophancy" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Jul 24, 2:49 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

17.29%chance

3126

OptionVotes

YES

1036

807

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Aug 24, 2025
Aug 24, 2025
Law
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AI
Elon Musk’s xAI Sought Zuckerberg’s Support for $97.4 Billion OpenAI Bid; Legal Battle Over Documents Ensues
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5 months ago

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Prediction markets for ChatGPT

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5 years from now, will ChatGPT be seen as an "iPhone moment?"

Will consumer AI platforms (ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, etc) face an ‘economic blackout’ protest against the US govt?

Will ChatGPT have ads before the end of 2026?

Will ChatGPT Plus users have unavoidable ads before the end of 2026?

ChatGPT-induced psychosis added to DSM-6 by December 31, 2030

ChatGPT (Or LLMs really) have discovered regularities in language that humans are not aware of

Will chatGPT fall below 75% of AI Chatbot market share in 2026?

Will chatgpt stop calling itself a "chatbot" by 2027?

Will Joe Biden have been debriefed about AI risks between chatGPT’s launch and the launch of GPT-4?

Will ChatGPT recommend products of ad partners over similar products from companies that don't buy ads?

Will "So You Think You've Awoken ChatGPT" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Will "On "ChatGPT Psychosis" and LLM Sycophancy" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Latest stories

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