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Prediction markets for ChatGPT
Bloomberg Odd Lots with Josh Wolfe: Will the field of Robotics have its "ChatGPT moment" by December 31, 2025?
Jan 7, 1:57 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
7.82%chance
1029138455
OptionVotes
344298
43497
5 years from now, will ChatGPT be seen as an "iPhone moment?"
Mar 27, 5:41 AMMar 28, 4:59 AM
94.29%chance
38551585
OptionVotes
4678
1281
Will there be an AI language model that strongly surpasses ChatGPT and other OpenAI models before the end of 2025?
Dec 29, 5:17 AMDec 31, 1:29 PM
33.86%chance
508848
OptionVotes
14496
6492
OptionProbability
62
54
39
30
OpenAI announces ChatGPT lifetime subscription before 2026?
May 8, 1:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
14.23%chance
242163
OptionVotes
2455
407
If I pay for a ChatGPT pro subscription, will it make me at least its cost back in value?
Jun 19, 10:08 PMJan 1, 11:05 PM
66.33%chance
5960
OptionVotes
1404
712
ChatGPT allows advertisers to influence results or place ads before Jan 2026
Nov 10, 10:16 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM
34.23%chance
21951
OptionVotes
1040
904
Does ChatGPT still diagnose appendicitis through EOY 2025
Jan 1, 4:25 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
57.2%chance
22937
OptionVotes
1011
987
OptionVotes
1143
691
Will the ChatGPT UI/UX change significantly before the end of 2025, altering core user interactions and functionality?
Jan 30, 11:54 AMDec 31, 11:00 PM
62.86%chance
19694
OptionVotes
1177
864
Will Joe Biden have been debriefed about AI risks between chatGPT’s launch and the launch of GPT-4?
Mar 4, 9:14 AMJan 1, 3:59 AM
38.64%chance
16515
OptionVotes
173
101
Will ChatGPT make a profit after all markets have resolved?
Nov 25, 4:48 AMApr 2, 6:59 AM
35.9%chance
7376
OptionVotes
1336
748
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