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Prediction markets for ChatGPT
Bloomberg Odd Lots with Josh Wolfe: Will the field of Robotics have its "ChatGPT moment" by December 31, 2025?
Jan 7, 1:57 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
2.81%chance
1279603195
OptionVotes
656217
28211
Will there be an AI language model that strongly surpasses ChatGPT and other OpenAI models before the end of 2025?
Dec 29, 5:17 AMDec 31, 1:29 PM
78.13%chance
167101654
OptionVotes
18299
5855
5 years from now, will ChatGPT be seen as an "iPhone moment?"
Mar 27, 5:41 AMMar 28, 4:59 AM
86.71%chance
38852556
OptionVotes
2186
1516
ChatGPT reaches 1 billion monthly active users in 2025?
Aug 6, 4:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
22.98%chance
6112362
OptionVotes
1831
546
OptionVotes
1764
567
Will I think ChatGPT Pro is worth $200 by mid-December 2025?
Nov 17, 10:04 AMDec 16, 11:59 PM
74.57%chance
293147
OptionVotes
1712
584
OptionVotes
1192
839
If I pay for a ChatGPT pro subscription, will it make me at least its cost back in value?
Jun 19, 10:08 PMJan 1, 11:05 PM
47.31%chance
81317
OptionVotes
1055
948
OptionVotes
1143
691
Will chatGPT fall below 75% of AI Chatbot market share in 2026?
Dec 6, 11:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
63.7%chance
8805
OptionVotes
1325
755
Will Joe Biden have been debriefed about AI risks between chatGPT’s launch and the launch of GPT-4?
Mar 4, 9:14 AMJan 1, 3:59 AM
38.64%chance
16515
OptionVotes
173
101
Will ChatGPT make a profit after all markets have resolved?
Nov 25, 4:48 AMApr 2, 6:59 AM
35.94%chance
7377
OptionVotes
1335
749