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Prediction markets for Chili
OptionProbability
93
90
88
85
85
83
78
72
70
68
67
66
65
65
64
60
59
55
53
52
52
52
51
51
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
48
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46
45
45
43
43
42
42
41
41
40
38
37
37
37
36
36
36
35
34
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34
34
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34
32
32
31
29
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26
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26
24
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23
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19
19
18
17
17
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11
10
10
10
10
10
9
8
8
8
7
6
6
6
6
6
6
5
5
5
3
3
2
2
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionVotes
3998
589
Where will the epicenter of next big earthquake be located (countries only)?
Feb 18, 2:35 AMFeb 25, 4:59 AM
191525
OptionProbability
82
7
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
100
100
84
78
67
66
66
66
66
59
57
56
52
50
50
50
50
48
45
41
41
41
41
41
41
27
26
16
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
49
35
10
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
The Great Manifold Bakeoff: Will Mary Smith's bread (YES) improve more than RealDonaldTrump's Chili (NO) by September 30
Jul 21, 6:08 PMSep 30, 11:59 PM
13.55%chance
8248
OptionVotes
253
40
Will I fly to New Mexico to buy chilis at Costco and cook @billga's Green Chile Stew before Souper Tuesday 2032?
Mar 26, 2:29 PMJan 3, 10:59 PM
65.03%chance
9103
OptionVotes
291
205
OptionProbability
100
100
100
43
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