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Prediction markets for China Coast Guard
China will directly engage in a military conflict before end of 2026
Mar 11, 12:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
8.2%chance
323242
OptionVotes
3345
299
China-Japan military clash or armed incident leading to injury by December 31, 2026
Nov 23, 7:58 AMDec 15, 7:54 AM
7.21%chance
17630
OptionVotes
359
28
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2027?
Oct 24, 7:32 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
20%chance
13291
OptionVotes
213
62
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2035?
Oct 24, 7:38 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
88.77%chance
6265
OptionVotes
251
33
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2029?
Oct 24, 7:34 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
47.7%chance
8200
OptionVotes
113
105
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2028?
Oct 24, 7:33 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
19.84%chance
6154
OptionVotes
220
55
Will China state vessels (e.g., CCG) board a commercial cargo ship heading to Taiwan's main island before 2027?
Mar 29, 1:43 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM
36.55%chance
9152
OptionVotes
132
76
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2032?
Oct 24, 7:36 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
83.17%chance
5140
OptionVotes
156
28
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2040?
Oct 24, 7:40 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
78.05%chance
4129
OptionVotes
193
67
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2030?
Oct 24, 7:35 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
40.24%chance
790
OptionVotes
94
85
Will a Filipino, Chinese or US national be killed on or near Sabine Shoal before 2027?
Aug 27, 3:27 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
61.19%chance
240
OptionVotes
126
80
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