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Prediction markets for China Coast Guard
Will there be a conflict over the South China Sea between two claimant states by the end of 2025?
Mar 23, 6:29 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM
12.53%chance
465262
OptionVotes
2535
512
Will there be a conflict over the South China Sea between two claimant states by the end of 2035?
Mar 23, 6:32 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM
70.01%chance
15481
OptionVotes
997
957
China-Japan military clash or armed incident leading to injury by December 31, 2026
Nov 23, 7:58 AMDec 15, 7:54 AM
7.45%chance
11441
OptionVotes
353
28
Will there be a conflict over the South China Sea between two claimant states by the end of 2030?
Mar 23, 6:31 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM
65.91%chance
16384
OptionVotes
1104
925
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2027?
Oct 24, 7:32 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
19.08%chance
12289
OptionVotes
219
61
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2026?
Oct 24, 7:31 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
10.3%chance
7217
OptionVotes
299
58
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2028?
Oct 24, 7:33 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
19.84%chance
6154
OptionVotes
220
55
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2032?
Oct 24, 7:36 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
83.17%chance
5140
OptionVotes
156
28
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2040?
Oct 24, 7:40 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
78.05%chance
4129
OptionVotes
193
67
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2030?
Oct 24, 7:35 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
40.24%chance
790
OptionVotes
94
85
Before 2026, will a US ship clash with a Chinese ship at Sabina Shoal?
Aug 27, 3:25 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
32.61%chance
245
OptionVotes
144
70
Will a Filipino, Chinese or US national be killed on or near Sabine Shoal before 2026?
Aug 27, 3:23 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
50%chance
00
OptionVotes
100
100
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