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Prediction markets for com
OptionVotes
19118
4543
This market resolves YES when an artificial agent is appointed to the board of directors of a S&P500 company, meanwhile every day I will bet M25 in NO.
Dec 11, 5:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
68.37%chance
326670197
OptionVotes
2774
2316
In 2028, will at least 350,000 Americans (1/1000) be talking at least weekly to an AI they consider a romantic companion?
Feb 20, 10:56 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
88.71%chance
526216469
OptionVotes
11814
5864
Will AGI come from a company whose primary product involves selling a model over an API?
Aug 13, 11:21 AMAug 20, 7:59 PM
67.51%chance
9858808
OptionVotes
144853
69696
Will there be a >0 value liquidity event for me, a former Consensys Software Inc. employee, on my shares of the company?
Jun 24, 1:17 PMSep 3, 4:00 AM
30.42%chance
2154258
OptionVotes
16293
6948
At the beginning of 2035, will Eliezer Yudkowsky still believe that AI doom is coming soon with high probability?
Mar 14, 8:29 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM
54.8%chance
22150925
OptionVotes
2550
1100
Will Kamoa-Kakula Project 95 be fully commissioned by 2026-12-31?
Apr 7, 1:27 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM
78.03%chance
1448589
OptionVotes
18367
5833
Will author Steven Brust complete the Dragaera series by the end of 2028?
Jun 18, 5:48 AMJan 1, 6:00 AM
46.51%chance
2325456
OptionVotes
10724
9325
Will .com still be the most popular top-level-domain at the beginning of 2035?
Dec 24, 9:11 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM
83.13%chance
522104
OptionVotes
1365
875
Will a Top Level Domain (TLD) other than .com be in the top 20 most expensive domain names before the end of 2028?
Mar 16, 5:28 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
43.41%chance
181758
OptionVotes
1152
851
Will a Top Level Domain (TLD) other than .com be in the top 10 most expensive domain names before the end of 2028?
Mar 16, 6:14 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
21.15%chance
16849
OptionVotes
1250
898
Will a Top Level Domain (TLD) other than .com be in the top 10 most expensive domain names before the end of 2030?
Mar 16, 6:06 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
22%chance
8203
OptionVotes
305
170