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7 months ago

Google Touts Low-Energy Gemini Prompts as AI Power Demand Swells

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Google Touts Low-Energy Gemini Prompts as AI Power Demand Swells

7 months ago

Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory?

Sep 1, 3:51 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

27%chance

21624593519

OptionVotes

YES

18927

4612

Will it come to light that Joe Biden used a body double while in presidential office or on the campaign trail?

Jul 4, 7:02 PMJan 21, 7:59 AM

1.28%chance

6396543

OptionVotes

YES

90079

6480

Will AGI come from a company whose primary product involves selling a model over an API?

Aug 13, 11:21 AMAug 20, 7:59 PM

66.59%chance

7954764

OptionVotes

YES

141843

71175

At the beginning of 2035, will Eliezer Yudkowsky still believe that AI doom is coming soon with high probability?

Mar 14, 8:29 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

55%chance

21950798

OptionVotes

YES

2545

1107

Which Scott Aaronson AI world will come to pass?

Jan 30, 2:53 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

7910194

OptionProbability

Futurama: AI tech produces great advances but our civilization recognizably continues

Singularia: AI is autonomous and acts as "benevolent gods"

AI-Dystopia: AI tech produces great harm but our civilization recognizably continues

AI-Fizzle: AI tech doesn't have a huge impact

Paperclipalypse: AI causes our extinction or similar

Which will come first, a female POTUS (Yes) or GTA 6 (No)?

Oct 18, 7:49 PMJan 1, 6:59 PM

2.76%chance

259338

OptionVotes

YES

3881

Will ANY of the three major “AI 2027” predictions come true?

Jun 12, 12:25 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.63%chance

337757

OptionVotes

YES

3480

287

Will the Robotaxi come out below $30,000?

Oct 11, 3:04 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11%chance

626499

OptionVotes

YES

2844

352

Which Scott Aaronson AI world will come to pass? (Metaculus forecast, 2027-12-31)

Dec 30, 4:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

86183

OptionProbability

Futurama: AI tech produces great advances but our civilization recognizably continues

AI-Dystopia: AI tech produces great harm but our civilization recognizably continues

Singularia: AI is autonomous and acts as "benevolent gods"

Paperclipalypse: AI causes our extinction or similar

AI-Fizzle: AI tech doesn't have a huge impact

Will Taylor Swift publicly come out as gay, bisexual, or queer before the end of 2030?

Jan 31, 2:05 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

13.41%chance

756035

OptionVotes

YES

2176

1183

What share of global energy will come from nuclear power?

Nov 27, 12:11 PMJan 1, 12:59 PM

325908

OptionProbability

2100

2075

2050

2040

2030

2028

2029

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory? (2050 Poll)

Mar 26, 12:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.39%chance

443590

OptionVotes

YES

1408

541

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Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory?

Will it come to light that Joe Biden used a body double while in presidential office or on the campaign trail?

Will AGI come from a company whose primary product involves selling a model over an API?

At the beginning of 2035, will Eliezer Yudkowsky still believe that AI doom is coming soon with high probability?

Which Scott Aaronson AI world will come to pass?

Which will come first, a female POTUS (Yes) or GTA 6 (No)?

Will ANY of the three major “AI 2027” predictions come true?

Will the Robotaxi come out below $30,000?

Which Scott Aaronson AI world will come to pass? (Metaculus forecast, 2027-12-31)

Will Taylor Swift publicly come out as gay, bisexual, or queer before the end of 2030?

What share of global energy will come from nuclear power?

Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory? (2050 Poll)

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