Communist China News

7 months ago

Which company will create AGI first?

Dec 7, 7:13 PMJan 1, 3:59 AM

734384

OptionProbability

DeepMind

OpenAI

Anthropic

US Government

xAI

people not employed by a company

Communist Party of China

Other

Will China still be a communist country on the following dates

Apr 14, 10:46 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

202546

OptionProbability

by Jan 1, 2025

by Jan 1, 2026

by Jan 1, 2027

by Jan 1, 2028

by Jan 1, 2029

by Jan 1, 2030

by Jan 1, 2035

by Jan 1, 2040

100

Who will lead China after Xi Jinping leaves power?

May 3, 2:13 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

13846

OptionProbability

Other

Zhang Shengmin

Ding Xuexiang

Li Qiang

Cai Qi

Wang Yang

He Lifeng

Wang Qishan

Tsai Ing-wen

Will Taiwan invade the PRC by 2050?

Aug 13, 8:35 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.55%chance

9632

OptionVotes

YES

378

CCP loses control of a province or SAR before 2030

Oct 15, 12:03 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

10.33%chance

10601

OptionVotes

YES

1249

925

3. China’s AI chip sector make significant strides, planting seeds for eventual decline on Nvidia [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.96%chance

8548

OptionVotes

YES

1334

752

Will Xi Jinping be either General Secretary or Chairman when he dies?

Nov 30, 3:20 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

44.44%chance

10252

OptionVotes

YES

141

Will Xi Jinping stop being the leader of China before China goes to war with Taiwan

Mar 28, 11:01 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

49.18%chance

7240

OptionVotes

YES

212

187

Will Meta censor its future open weights models according to Chinese-developed techniques?

May 6, 4:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

32.09%chance

14135

OptionVotes

YES

1178

1053

Will Taiwanese President Lai Ching-te visit Kinmen or Matsu between January 2026 and April 2028?

Jan 5, 6:42 AMApr 30, 11:59 PM

50%chance

2122

OptionVotes

YES

100

Will the CCP appoint a Party Secretary of Taiwan before 2030?

Jul 18, 2:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.03%chance

355

OptionVotes

YES

133

Will Zhang Shengmin be expelled from the Chinese Communist Party before 2028?

Jan 21, 3:34 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.02%chance

125

OptionVotes

YES

125

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Which company will create AGI first?

Will China still be a communist country on the following dates

Who will lead China after Xi Jinping leaves power?

Will Taiwan invade the PRC by 2050?

CCP loses control of a province or SAR before 2030

3. China’s AI chip sector make significant strides, planting seeds for eventual decline on Nvidia [See full title!]

Will Xi Jinping be either General Secretary or Chairman when he dies?

Will Xi Jinping stop being the leader of China before China goes to war with Taiwan

Will Meta censor its future open weights models according to Chinese-developed techniques?

Will Taiwanese President Lai Ching-te visit Kinmen or Matsu between January 2026 and April 2028?

Will the CCP appoint a Party Secretary of Taiwan before 2030?

Will Zhang Shengmin be expelled from the Chinese Communist Party before 2028?

Latest stories

Join our channels

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