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Prediction markets for Communist China
Who will be the next General Secretary of China after Xi Jinping?
Feb 15, 12:23 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
335958
OptionProbability
28
16
15
12
9
9
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
OptionProbability
23
20
18
10
7
6
5
5
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
100
96
94
90
82
81
75
63
OptionProbability
41
26
13
9
7
3
1
1
OptionVotes
359
28
OptionVotes
1249
925
Will Xi Jinping stop being the leader of China before China goes to war with Taiwan
Mar 28, 11:01 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
49.18%chance
7240
OptionVotes
212
187
Will a Cold War like situation erupt between the US and China by 2034?
Feb 18, 1:27 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM
79.06%chance
9211
OptionVotes
300
170
Will Xi Jinping be either General Secretary or Chairman when he dies?
Nov 30, 3:20 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
40.33%chance
6182
OptionVotes
150
59
Will Meta censor its future open weights models according to Chinese-developed techniques?
May 6, 4:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
32.09%chance
14135
OptionVotes
1178
1053
Will the CCP appoint a Party Secretary of Taiwan before 2030?
Jul 18, 2:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
36.03%chance
355
OptionVotes
133
75
Taiwan 2028 Long Range Market: Will the KMT abandon the 1992 Consensus?
Jan 14, 4:12 AMJan 31, 3:59 PM
42.14%chance
211
OptionVotes
79
63
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