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Prediction markets for Communist Party
OptionProbability
30
25
17
11
6
4
3
2
1
0
0
0
OptionProbability
550
496
IRON MEN: Which 6 of these 12 politicians will keep power longer? The first six "out" go to 0%, remaining six go to 100%
Jan 8, 5:27 PMFeb 2, 7:59 AM
193955
OptionProbability
89
82
78
71
59
40
37
35
35
19
15
13
Will the Chinese communist party stay in power till 2033?
Sep 19, 7:44 PMJan 2, 10:59 PM
86.06%chance
18648
OptionVotes
1010
970
Will Hu Chunhua be added to the Chinese Communist Party Standing Committee by the end of 2025?
Aug 21, 2:00 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
32.23%chance
2441
OptionVotes
145
69
Will any of the following Western countries' legislatures be majority controlled by explicitly fascist or communist political parties before 2030?
Feb 8, 10:43 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
28.86%chance
18334
OptionVotes
999
980
When will the next Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party to include a woman be chosen?
Mar 27, 3:16 AMJan 27, 3:59 PM
2119
OptionProbability
33
17
17
17
17
Will any member of the Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party be removed from their position before Autumn 2027?
Nov 2, 12:23 PMNov 1, 3:59 PM
67.41%chance
487
OptionVotes
107
77
Who will become General Secretary of the Communist Party of Vietnam in 2026?
Jul 1, 2:48 AMJan 31, 3:59 PM
265
OptionProbability
70
15
15
Will the 21st Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party, to be selected in 2027, include at least one woman?
Mar 27, 3:20 AMJan 27, 3:59 PM
47.35%chance
551
OptionVotes
116
102
When will the first Politburo Standing Committee of the Chinese Communist Party to include a woman be chosen?
Mar 27, 3:12 AMJan 27, 3:59 PM
350
OptionProbability
23
23
23
22
8
Will Prime Minister Pham Minh Chinh resign or be removed from the Communist Party of Vietnam Politburo before 2026?
Jul 1, 2:44 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
39.31%chance
225
OptionVotes
124
80
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