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Prediction markets for Companies House
3. Donald Trump and Elon Musk will have a messy falling-out. This will have meaningful consequences for the world of AI.
Dec 27, 8:14 AMJan 3, 10:59 PM
80.14%chance
6116884
OptionVotes
2008
498
In 2028, will traditional Big Tech be clearly ahead of AI-specific companies in AI technology?
Feb 20, 10:35 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
33.67%chance
1388307
OptionVotes
2986
2139
Will a utility suggest customers leave their home AC on full-blast during the day because of net-negative demand by '26?
Jan 27, 2:46 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
12.68%chance
505971
OptionVotes
3000
768
Will JetBlue announce that it has acquired Spirit Airlines before 2026?
Mar 29, 2:11 AMDec 1, 5:00 PM
4.7%chance
264482
OptionVotes
2094
713
Will there be a billion-dollar company with only one person by 2040?
Jul 3, 1:46 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
34.98%chance
392423
OptionVotes
1363
733
Kendi/DiAngelo school of DEI widely repudiated as racist OR paranoid in USA before 2040.
Jul 13, 1:16 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM
76.19%chance
191852
OptionVotes
1010
851
Will Microsoft Copilot continue to rely primarily on OpenAI foundation models at the end of 2025?
Mar 19, 8:36 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
64.66%chance
271594
OptionVotes
1302
754
Will a serious competitor to NVIDIA in the AI chip space emerge before EOY 2027?
Mar 31, 7:40 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
74.93%chance
401206
OptionVotes
1357
810
Under Hawley's proposed law, would the generative AI definition apply to curation algorithms like YouTube or Facebook?
Dec 6, 10:18 PMMar 16, 3:59 AM
8%chance
14604
OptionVotes
1163
953
Wich Company will be the first to sell 100.000 humanoid robots capable of houshold tasks.
Jan 6, 5:43 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
10109
OptionProbability
25
18
14
11
7
6
5
4
3
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
OptionProbability
154
55
[don't bet yet, finalizing details] Will a Musk Company or Elon do large geoengineering projects for global warming?
Aug 10, 3:52 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
49.08%chance
637
OptionVotes
133
127