Competition and Markets Authority News
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Prediction markets for Competition and Markets Authority
OptionProbability
98
2
0
Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins a seat in Congress in 2026
Jul 9, 9:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
1.79%chance
207906
OptionVotes
7404
135
Alcoa's aluminum segment 2026 production exceeds 2.3 Mt (2,300 kt)
Jan 12, 7:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
93.15%chance
173273
OptionVotes
3688
271
OptionVotes
1100
977
Will Brazil withdraw from the BRICS organization by the end of 2026?
Oct 5, 12:49 PMDec 31, 8:00 PM
8644
OptionProbability
97
3
OptionProbability
19
19
18
15
14
8
7
Will the GOP face a serious third party competition by midterms 2030?
Mar 13, 10:46 PMNov 4, 11:59 PM
49.43%chance
7213
OptionVotes
1011
989
Will a frontier AI lab publish recurring governance metrics with capability benchmarks in one document by 2026-12-31?
Jul 16, 1:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
50%chance
124
OptionVotes
124
67