Congressional Budget Office News

DOGE cuts $1T federal deficit by FY 2026?

Feb 4, 6:07 AMOct 1, 6:59 AM

2.9%chance

3810899

OptionVotes

YES

5785

173

Did US Real Median Household Income Increase in 2023?

Sep 15, 3:57 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

76.82%chance

1810663

OptionVotes

YES

18203

5494

Will the US and Russia start a new nuclear arms race before 2028?

Feb 6, 12:13 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.97%chance

212082

OptionVotes

YES

1529

654

What will the US national debt be after the Trump administration?

Mar 5, 8:50 PMDec 1, 7:59 AM

101181

OptionProbability

40 - 49.9

50 - 59.9

30 - 39.9

Below 20

20 - 29.9

Above 60

What will the federal budget deficit be at the end of the Trump administration?

Mar 5, 9:30 PMNov 1, 6:59 AM

101027

OptionProbability

$1000bn - $1999bn

$2000bn - $2999bn

$3000bn+

$0 - $999bn

Below $0

US population growth rate for 2025 will be

Sep 3, 4:23 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9878

OptionProbability

0.5% to 0.75%

0.25% to 0.5%

0.75% to 1.0%

0% to 0.25%

Negative (population decline)

Greater than 1.0%

Did Real Median Income Decrease During the Biden Administration?

Apr 17, 11:37 PMJan 20, 11:59 AM

57.27%chance

6271

OptionVotes

YES

1158

864

Will the U.S. military budget decrease by 10%+ during the 2025-2029 presidential term?

Feb 14, 1:15 AMJan 21, 4:59 AM

21.22%chance

7161

OptionVotes

YES

193

What will the US top 1% post-tax/transfer income share be in 2023?

Feb 23, 2:14 AMJun 29, 3:59 AM

79.18%chance

2101

OptionProbability

YES

201

What will the US top 1% post-tax/transfer income share be in 2024?

Feb 23, 2:14 AMJun 29, 3:59 AM

79.04%chance

1100

OptionProbability

YES

200

What will the US top 1% post-tax/transfer income share be in 2025?

Feb 23, 2:14 AMJun 29, 3:59 AM

72.98%chance

175

OptionProbability

YES

175

What will the US top 1% post-tax/transfer income share be in 2026?

Feb 23, 2:14 AMJun 29, 3:59 AM

40%chance

OptionProbability

YES

100

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Congressional Budget Office News

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Prediction markets for Congressional Budget Office

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Prediction markets for Congressional Budget Office

DOGE cuts $1T federal deficit by FY 2026?

Did US Real Median Household Income Increase in 2023?

Will the US and Russia start a new nuclear arms race before 2028?

What will the US national debt be after the Trump administration?

What will the federal budget deficit be at the end of the Trump administration?

US population growth rate for 2025 will be

Did Real Median Income Decrease During the Biden Administration?

Will the U.S. military budget decrease by 10%+ during the 2025-2029 presidential term?

What will the US top 1% post-tax/transfer income share be in 2023?

What will the US top 1% post-tax/transfer income share be in 2024?

What will the US top 1% post-tax/transfer income share be in 2025?

What will the US top 1% post-tax/transfer income share be in 2026?

Latest stories

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