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Prediction markets for Congressional Budget Office
OptionVotes
5785
173
Did US Real Median Household Income Increase in 2023?
Sep 15, 3:57 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
76.82%chance
1810663
OptionVotes
18203
5494
Will the US and Russia start a new nuclear arms race before 2028?
Feb 6, 12:13 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
29.97%chance
212082
OptionVotes
1529
654
OptionProbability
85
8
3
1
1
1
What will the federal budget deficit be at the end of the Trump administration?
Mar 5, 9:30 PMNov 1, 6:59 AM
101027
OptionProbability
31
30
30
7
1
OptionProbability
62
36
1
1
1
0
Did Real Median Income Decrease During the Biden Administration?
Apr 17, 11:37 PMJan 20, 11:59 AM
57.27%chance
6271
OptionVotes
1158
864
Will the U.S. military budget decrease by 10%+ during the 2025-2029 presidential term?
Feb 14, 1:15 AMJan 21, 4:59 AM
21.22%chance
7161
OptionVotes
193
52
What will the US top 1% post-tax/transfer income share be in 2023?
Feb 23, 2:14 AMJun 29, 3:59 AM
79.18%chance
2101
OptionProbability
201
35
What will the US top 1% post-tax/transfer income share be in 2024?
Feb 23, 2:14 AMJun 29, 3:59 AM
79.04%chance
1100
OptionProbability
200
35
What will the US top 1% post-tax/transfer income share be in 2025?
Feb 23, 2:14 AMJun 29, 3:59 AM
72.98%chance
175
OptionProbability
175
43
What will the US top 1% post-tax/transfer income share be in 2026?
Feb 23, 2:14 AMJun 29, 3:59 AM
40%chance
00
OptionProbability
100
100
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