Congressional Budget Office News

Will the US and Russia start a new nuclear arms race before 2028?

Feb 6, 12:13 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.08%chance

212832

OptionVotes

YES

2129

470

What will the US national debt be after the Trump administration?

Mar 5, 8:50 PMDec 1, 7:59 AM

101231

OptionProbability

40 - 49.9

50 - 59.9

30 - 39.9

Above 60

Below 20

20 - 29.9

What will the federal budget deficit be at the end of the Trump administration?

Mar 5, 9:30 PMNov 1, 6:59 AM

101027

OptionProbability

$1000bn - $1999bn

$2000bn - $2999bn

$3000bn+

$0 - $999bn

Below $0

Did Real Median Income Decrease During the Biden Administration?

Apr 17, 11:37 PMJan 20, 11:59 AM

57.27%chance

6271

OptionVotes

YES

1158

864

Will the U.S. military budget decrease by 10%+ during the 2025-2029 presidential term?

Feb 14, 1:15 AMJan 21, 4:59 AM

21.22%chance

7161

OptionVotes

YES

193

What will the US top 1% post-tax/transfer income share be in 2024?

Feb 23, 2:14 AMJun 29, 3:59 AM

43.22%chance

2157

OptionProbability

YES

105

What will the US top 1% post-tax/transfer income share be in 2025?

Feb 23, 2:14 AMJun 29, 3:59 AM

47.03%chance

2116

OptionProbability

YES

112

What will the US top 1% post-tax/transfer income share be in 2027?

Feb 23, 2:14 AMJun 29, 3:59 AM

40%chance

OptionProbability

YES

100

What will the US top 1% post-tax/transfer income share be in 2026?

Feb 23, 2:14 AMJun 29, 3:59 AM

40%chance

OptionProbability

YES

100

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Congressional Budget Office News

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Prediction markets for Congressional Budget Office

Prediction markets for Congressional Budget Office

Prediction markets for Congressional Budget Office

Will the US and Russia start a new nuclear arms race before 2028?

What will the US national debt be after the Trump administration?

What will the federal budget deficit be at the end of the Trump administration?

Did Real Median Income Decrease During the Biden Administration?

Will the U.S. military budget decrease by 10%+ during the 2025-2029 presidential term?

What will the US top 1% post-tax/transfer income share be in 2024?

What will the US top 1% post-tax/transfer income share be in 2025?

What will the US top 1% post-tax/transfer income share be in 2027?

What will the US top 1% post-tax/transfer income share be in 2026?

Latest stories

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