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Congressional Democrats News

Will Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?

Oct 26, 3:24 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

40.67%chance

554181322

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2676

2061

Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?

Aug 28, 4:50 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

43%chance

8712384

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1151

869

How many independent/3rd party politicians in next Senate?

May 27, 7:37 PMJul 5, 10:59 PM

117844

OptionProbability

2

3

4

1

0

5 or more

70

11

6

5

4

4

Will the U.S. slide into the tenets of fascism under Trump’s second term by the end of 2025?

Mar 14, 8:07 AMJan 1, 10:59 AM

482805

OptionProbability

Authoritarian Leadership

Forcible Suppression of Opposition

Extreme Nationalism and/or Race-Based Policies

Militarism and Political Violence

Regimentation of Society and Economy

Rejection of Pluralism and Democracy

89

83

81

80

58

23

Will Congress confirm a Supreme Court justice in 2025?

May 6, 2:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.48%chance

102735

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3522

287

Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins a seat in Congress in 2026

Jul 9, 9:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.76%chance

141621

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1613

620

Will America remain a two-party system until February 2040?

Dec 11, 3:04 AMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

71.87%chance

171481

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1127

937

Who will win the Democratic primary in Colorado's 8th congressional district?

Jun 30, 9:02 PMJun 30, 8:59 PM

3550

OptionProbability

Manny Rutinel

Yadira Caraveo

Shannon Bird

Amie Baca Oehlert

Other

Dave Young

33

32

10

10

9

5

Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins 10%+ of vote for a Congressional seat in 2026?

Jul 10, 1:17 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.73%chance

13546

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1158

864

If the Texas GOP succeeds in redistricting, will they gain seats in the midterms?

Jul 21, 11:15 AMNov 8, 12:14 PM

59.7%chance

12390

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1217

822

Will America remain a two-party system until 2050?

Dec 29, 6:53 PMJan 6, 4:59 AM

68.47%chance

15375

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1042

877

Will Trump do a good job?

Jul 4, 2:36 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

6189

OptionProbability

Democrat wins Presidency and not Congress

Republican wins Presidency and not Congress

Republican Trifecta

Democratic Trifecta

44

28

20

7

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