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Top stories

Rubio Says USAID Enters Formal Shutdown With Vought Leading Wind-Down

US Foreign Policy

US Domestic Policy

Rubio Says USAID Enters Formal Shutdown With Vought Leading Wind-Down

Authors

6

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Congressional Democrats

Will Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?

Oct 26, 3:24 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

8.77%chance

793414172

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14104

2043

Which party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in North Carolina's 3rd District?

Oct 6, 6:07 AMNov 18, 7:59 AM

29238855

OptionProbability

Democratic Party — Raymond Smith Jr.

Republican Party — Greg Murphy

Another party or independent

80

20

0

Which party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Washington's 5th District?

Oct 6, 6:25 AMNov 18, 7:59 AM

11168573

OptionProbability

Republican Party — Michael Baumgartner

Democratic Party — Carmela Conroy

Another party or independent

95

5

0

Which party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Arkansas' 2nd District?

Oct 6, 5:39 AMNov 18, 7:59 AM

1176106

OptionProbability

Republican Party — French Hill

Democratic Party — Chris Jones

Another party or independent

95

5

0

If Dems win the House or Senate in 2026, will officials try to block a working Democratic majority from being seated?

Sep 23, 6:08 AMJan 3, 11:59 PM

15.73%chance

16740693

OptionVotes

YES

NO

24642

5236

Which party will win Nebraska's 2nd District (NE-2) in the 2028 presidential election?

Nov 6, 12:45 AMNov 8, 12:00 PM

218502

OptionProbability

Democratic Party

Republican Party

Other

91

9

0

Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?

Aug 28, 4:50 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

56.6%chance

9413352

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1142

876

Will there be a significant polling error at the 2026 US midterm elections?

Nov 19, 1:48 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

93.57%chance

275676

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5529

66

Will Democrats win Nevadas 2nd congressional district in 2026?

Oct 9, 7:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

94%chance

93637

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2879

75

Which Washington State Congressional districts will Democrats win in the 2026 midterms?

Oct 23, 7:34 AMNov 17, 11:59 PM

51221

OptionProbability

Washington's 1st Congressional District

Washington's 2nd Congressional District

Washington's 3rd Congressional District

Washington's 6th Congressional District

Washington's 7th Congressional District

Washington's 8th Congressional District

Washington's 9th Congressional District

Washington's 10th Congressional District

Washington's 5th Congressional District

Washington's 4th Congressional District

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

16

0

Which party will win Maine's 2nd District (ME-2) in the 2028 presidential election?

Nov 6, 12:45 AMNov 8, 12:00 PM

2253

OptionProbability

Republican Party

Democratic Party

Other

82

18

1

Which party will win Nebraska's 1st District (NE-1) in the 2028 presidential election?

Nov 6, 12:45 AMNov 8, 12:00 PM

13

OptionProbability

Republican Party

Democratic Party

Other

93

6

1

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
US Legislation
US Foreign Policy
US Domestic Policy
Rubio Says USAID Enters Formal Shutdown With Vought Leading Wind-Down
Authors
6
1 year ago

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