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Top stories

Les Républicains Back Dati for Paris Mayor as She Exits By-Election

Les Républicains Back Dati for Paris Mayor as She Exits By-Election

Authors

11

7 months ago

Prediction markets for Constitutional Council

EU activates Trade Bazooka against the US before 2027?

Jan 18, 12:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.31%chance

142953

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2265

441

EU ends unanimous decision-making by EOY 2035?

Jul 14, 12:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.17%chance

112322

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1724

580

Will the Roman Catholic Church allow priests to perform same-sex marriages before 2075?

Sep 28, 3:48 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

45.88%chance

261095

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1240

705

Italy judicial reform: Will turnout at the March 2026 referendum exceed 50%?

Mar 12, 7:55 PMMar 22, 2:00 AM

29.84%chance

11522

OptionVotes

YES

NO

153

65

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Mar 1, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.28%chance

7315

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1051

819

Will Dominique de Villepin be a candidate in the 2027 French presidential election?

Jun 25, 7:08 AMMar 19, 11:59 PM

62.17%chance

581

OptionVotes

NO

YES

128

78

Italy judicial reform: Will the parliamentary list for lay members be at least 3x the seats to fill?

Mar 12, 11:30 AMDec 31, 12:28 PM

49.97%chance

250

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1001

999

Italy judicial reform: Will the Alta Corte use mixed panels of judges and prosecutors in first-instance cases?

Mar 12, 8:07 PMDec 31, 8:06 PM

35.43%chance

235

OptionVotes

YES

NO

135

74

Italy judicial reform: Will a High Disciplinary Court ruling be challenged at the ECHR or Corte Costituzionale by 2032?

Mar 12, 11:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

64.57%chance

235

OptionVotes

NO

YES

135

74

Italy judicial reform: Will the EU Commission's 2027 Rule of Law Report include recommendations on this reform?

Mar 12, 8:03 PMDec 31, 1:00 AM

64.57%chance

235

OptionVotes

NO

YES

135

74

Italy judicial reform: Will the first implementing legislation be a "legge delega" (delegation to the Government)?

Mar 12, 7:57 PMDec 31, 8:56 PM

60.98%chance

125

OptionVotes

NO

YES

125

80

Special ecclesial assembly approved by Francis held in October 2028?

Nov 16, 7:44 AMOct 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
France
Politics
World
Les Républicains Back Dati for Paris Mayor as She Exits By-Election
Authors
11
7 months ago

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