Constitutional Council News

Les Républicains Back Dati for Paris Mayor as She Exits By-Election

7 months ago

what will be the result of the Italian constitutional referendum on March 22nd-23rd?

Mar 21, 11:05 AMMar 24, 1:59 PM

20%chance

164127

OptionVotes

YES

200

EU activates Trade Bazooka against the US before 2027?

Jan 18, 12:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.29%chance

142955

OptionVotes

YES

2267

441

EU ends unanimous decision-making by EOY 2035?

Jul 14, 12:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.17%chance

112322

OptionVotes

YES

1724

580

Will a new regime be installed in Iran before April 1st?

Mar 3, 7:40 AMMar 31, 11:59 PM

9.88%chance

232283

OptionVotes

YES

302

Will the Roman Catholic Church allow priests to perform same-sex marriages before 2075?

Sep 28, 3:48 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

45.88%chance

261095

OptionVotes

YES

1240

705

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Mar 1, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.28%chance

7315

OptionVotes

YES

1051

819

Yemen fragmented into 2 or more internationally recognized countries by EOY 2028?

Jan 6, 7:42 AMJan 1, 6:29 PM

687

OptionProbability

Partial - De facto separation exists but no formal international recognition by EOY 2028

No - Yemen is unified under single internationally recognized government by EOY 2028

Yes - Multiple independent states emerge (South Arabia, Houthi state, others) by EOY 2028

Will Dominique de Villepin be a candidate in the 2027 French presidential election?

Jun 25, 7:08 AMMar 19, 11:59 PM

62.17%chance

581

OptionVotes

YES

128

Italy judicial reform: Will the parliamentary list for lay members be at least 3x the seats to fill?

Mar 12, 11:30 AMDec 31, 12:28 PM

49.97%chance

250

OptionVotes

YES

1001

999

Italy judicial reform: Will the two new CSMs share a single parliamentary list for lay member sortition?

Mar 12, 8:09 PMDec 31, 8:07 PM

32.23%chance

345

OptionVotes

YES

145

Italy judicial reform: Will a High Disciplinary Court ruling be challenged at the ECHR or Corte Costituzionale by 2032?

Mar 12, 11:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

64.57%chance

235

OptionVotes

YES

135

Special ecclesial assembly approved by Francis held in October 2028?

Nov 16, 7:44 AMOct 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

OptionVotes

YES

1000

Latest stories

Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
France
Politics
World
Les Républicains Back Dati for Paris Mayor as She Exits By-Election
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7 months ago

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what will be the result of the Italian constitutional referendum on March 22nd-23rd?

EU activates Trade Bazooka against the US before 2027?

EU ends unanimous decision-making by EOY 2035?

Will a new regime be installed in Iran before April 1st?

Will the Roman Catholic Church allow priests to perform same-sex marriages before 2075?

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Yemen fragmented into 2 or more internationally recognized countries by EOY 2028?

Will Dominique de Villepin be a candidate in the 2027 French presidential election?

Italy judicial reform: Will the parliamentary list for lay members be at least 3x the seats to fill?

Italy judicial reform: Will the two new CSMs share a single parliamentary list for lay member sortition?

Italy judicial reform: Will a High Disciplinary Court ruling be challenged at the ECHR or Corte Costituzionale by 2032?

Special ecclesial assembly approved by Francis held in October 2028?

Latest stories

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