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Top stories

Texas Map Shift Lifts GOP to 215 Seats in Cook’s 2026 House Forecast

Texas Map Shift Lifts GOP to 215 Seats in Cook’s 2026 House Forecast

Authors

3

9 months ago

Prediction markets for Cook

In 2029, will any AI be able to work as a competent cook in an arbitrary kitchen? (Gary Marcus benchmark #3)

Sep 16, 8:37 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

50%chance

11815407

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1704

1259

Will SCOTUS rule in favor of Trump in Trump v. Cook?

Jan 19, 12:45 AMJan 1, 12:59 AM

24.8%chance

151967

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1741

574

Are tech employees cooked before 2028 (Layoffs.fyi layoffs)?

Apr 22, 6:24 PMMay 1, 10:59 PM

44.15%chance

71967

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1125

889

Will Tim Cook continue as CEO of Apple through 2030?

Jan 8, 4:56 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

1%chance

161941

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1724

18

Will Tim Cook step down as Apple CEO in 2026?

Nov 25, 8:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

201749

OptionProbability

Yes, in Second Half (Jul–Dec)

Yes, in First Half (Jan–Jun)

No, Not in 2026

Other

99

0

0

0

Will Tim Cook cease to be CEO of Apple before 2030?

Jul 18, 6:15 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

99%chance

51738

OptionVotes

NO

YES

995

10

Will Lisa Cook be convicted of felony federal mortgage fraud?

Aug 29, 11:04 PMJan 1, 12:04 AM

0.74%chance

111259

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1158

9

Will a crossing of the Cook Strait, between New Zealand's North and South Islands, have started construction by 2040?

Jul 5, 9:21 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

10.17%chance

181050

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1325

913

👍👎 is usa cooked [market index]

Feb 20, 4:02 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

52.79%chance

6645

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1057

946

Will Tim Cook be alive through the end of 2060?

Jan 23, 1:50 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

37.3%chance

745

OptionVotes

YES

NO

142

120

Will Dot find someone worth cooking for by May 31, 2026?

Mar 25, 11:50 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

55.46%chance

322

OptionVotes

NO

YES

112

90

Will Tim Cook be alive through the end of 2040?

Jan 23, 1:50 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

58.37%chance

512

OptionVotes

NO

YES

120

102

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 23, 2025
Aug 23, 2025
US Elections
Texas
Politics
Texas Map Shift Lifts GOP to 215 Seats in Cook’s 2026 House Forecast
Authors
3
9 months ago

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