Corpus News

San Mateo County Opens 10-Day Hearing to Remove Sheriff Christina Corpus

10 months ago

Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?

Jun 7, 10:50 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

7.85%chance

8145087

OptionVotes

YES

33264

2509

AI solves the Abstraction and Reasoning Corpus (ARC) by 2028

Apr 5, 9:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.39%chance

6012486

OptionVotes

YES

1590

670

Will the ARC-AGI grand prize be claimed by end of 2026?

Sep 16, 7:43 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

51.36%chance

5110624

OptionVotes

YES

1031

977

Will any notable scientist or public intellectual posthumously publish as an AI simulacrum before EoY 2027?

Jun 12, 3:00 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

7.64%chance

226982

OptionVotes

YES

3477

288

Will an LLM (a GPT-like text AI) defeat the World Champion at Chess before 2035?

Feb 16, 3:40 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

66.1%chance

463672

OptionVotes

YES

1464

573

Does hidden interpolation explain >25% of AI progress?

Dec 4, 12:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

43.09%chance

82651

OptionVotes

YES

1149

870

Will President Trump suspend Habeas Corpus?

May 10, 1:22 PMJan 20, 2:06 PM

30.27%chance

171827

OptionVotes

YES

1518

659

What will be the next book/story in the “A Song of Ice and Fire” universe released by George R. R. Martin (in his life)?

Apr 8, 5:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4398

OptionProbability

A book in the main ASOIAF series (ie a sequel to “A Dance with Dragons”, eg “The Winds of Winter”)

A “Dunk and Egg” story or stories

A sequel to “Fire & Blood”

A different in-universe non-fiction book/story

Martin will not release another book/story in the ASOIAF universe in his lifetime

A different fiction book/story

Will Elon Musk apologize for Grok being too left wing or 'woke' in the second half of 2026?

Oct 1, 5:00 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52.61%chance

7222

OptionVotes

YES

105

Will Corpus Christi "run out of water" by the end of 2030?

Apr 23, 8:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.08%chance

3172

OptionVotes

YES

1126

888

AI agent able to transfer lossless corpus of someone's Roam Research notes [INCL PICTURES] to Obsidian by EOY2027?

Nov 27, 7:23 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

63%chance

453

OptionVotes

YES

130

Will HBM3e supply exit shortage status before 2026-12-31?

May 4, 8:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35.65%chance

OptionVotes

YES

101

Latest stories

Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
California
Politics
United States
San Mateo County Opens 10-Day Hearing to Remove Sheriff Christina Corpus
Authors
3
10 months ago

Join our channels

Get the latest stories live on any device.

WhatsApp
Top Stories
Join
Telegram
Top Stories
Join

Corpus News

Top stories

Prediction markets for Corpus

Prediction markets for Corpus

Prediction markets for Corpus

Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?

AI solves the Abstraction and Reasoning Corpus (ARC) by 2028

Will the ARC-AGI grand prize be claimed by end of 2026?

Will any notable scientist or public intellectual posthumously publish as an AI simulacrum before EoY 2027?

Will an LLM (a GPT-like text AI) defeat the World Champion at Chess before 2035?

Does hidden interpolation explain >25% of AI progress?

Will President Trump suspend Habeas Corpus?

What will be the next book/story in the “A Song of Ice and Fire” universe released by George R. R. Martin (in his life)?

Will Elon Musk apologize for Grok being too left wing or 'woke' in the second half of 2026?

Will Corpus Christi "run out of water" by the end of 2030?

AI agent able to transfer lossless corpus of someone's Roam Research notes [INCL PICTURES] to Obsidian by EOY2027?

Will HBM3e supply exit shortage status before 2026-12-31?

Latest stories

Join our channels

WhatsApp

Telegram