OptionProbability
Eunisses Hernandez (incumbent)
Lou Calanche
Sylvia Robledo
Nelson Grande
Raul Claros
Elaine Alaniz
Jesus Jesse Rosas
Jesse Rojas
Joseph Lucey
Rosa Requeno
Annalee Harr
Other
58
12
9
7
1
OptionVotes
NO
YES
1081
943
Have been born after the first plane was hijacked on 9/11
Be a President or other kind of non-royal, non-coup Head of State
Be a man (cis or trans)
Take office on or before 2034-03-29 (ten years from market creation)
Be a Prime Minister, meaning a head of government, not head of state, most often elected by the legislature
Be considered broadly left-wing in their country
Be a monarch or a monarch's representative/regent
Have been married
Have been in custody
Rule a country that's in the bottom 10% by area
Rule an African country
Rule a country with same-sex marriage
Rule a country that's not a UN member as of market creation
Not rule by heredity, and be related to someone who is or was also a state leader during their lifetime
Come to power as the result of a coup
Be out as LGBTQIA+
Have used a prediction market
84
70
67
57
54
52
50
47
43
38
26
25
24
21
Hugo Soto-Martinez (incumbent)
Colter Carlisle
55
28
18
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