OptionProbability
Eunisses Hernandez (incumbent)
Lou Calanche
Nelson Grande
Sylvia Robledo
Raul Claros
Elaine Alaniz
Jesus Jesse Rosas
Jesse Rojas
Joseph Lucey
Rosa Requeno
Annalee Harr
Other
44
15
13
12
10
1
Have been born after the first plane was hijacked on 9/11
Be a President or other kind of non-royal, non-coup Head of State
Be a man (cis or trans)
Take office on or before 2034-03-29 (ten years from market creation)
Be a Prime Minister, meaning a head of government, not head of state, most often elected by the legislature
Be considered broadly left-wing in their country
Be a monarch or a monarch's representative/regent
Have been married
Have been in custody
Rule a country that's in the bottom 10% by area
Rule an African country
Rule a country with same-sex marriage
Rule a country that's not a UN member as of market creation
Not rule by heredity, and be related to someone who is or was also a state leader during their lifetime
Come to power as the result of a coup
Be out as LGBTQIA+
Have used a prediction market
84
71
67
57
54
52
50
47
46
43
38
29
25
24
21
9
OptionVotes
YES
NO
1152
803
Hugo Soto-Martinez (incumbent)
Colter Carlisle
55
28
18
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