Court News

Will the International Court of Justice (ICJ) determine that Israel committed genocide in Gaza?

Jan 3, 7:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

18.78%chance

359110747

OptionVotes

YES

1985

1056

Will the US Supreme Court overturn gay marriage [Obergefell v. Hodges] before 2030?

Aug 22, 11:06 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

6.24%chance

12966236

OptionVotes

YES

20771

3683

Will at least one other person be found guilty in a court of law for involvement in Crooks' Trump assassination attempt?

Jul 18, 2:23 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

2.7%chance

1739662

OptionVotes

YES

44399

7886

Will the U.S. Supreme Court hold Trump or a member of his Cabinet in contempt?

Apr 28, 7:36 PMFeb 28, 8:36 PM

8.22%chance

2726601

OptionVotes

YES

33409

2993

[ACX 2026] Will the composition of the US Supreme Court change in 2026?

Jan 6, 11:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.9%chance

6824935

OptionVotes

YES

6724

4741

Will Sonia Sotomayor still be on the Supreme Court at the end of 2026?

Apr 12, 5:13 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

94.85%chance

548947

OptionVotes

YES

7188

1329

When will the U.S. Supreme Court stop having a conservative majority?

Apr 12, 7:04 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

336819

OptionProbability

After 2070 (or never)

2036-2040

2029-2035

2061-2065

2041-2045

2046-2050

2066-2070

By 2028

2051-2055

2056-2060

Will Trump refuse to carry out or obey any Supreme Court decisions?

Mar 7, 12:05 PMJan 20, 11:59 PM

69.56%chance

406214

OptionVotes

YES

3162

2308

Did Donald Trump have sex with a minor (underage)? (Sworn court testimony or similar, by 2028-01-01.)

Jul 25, 1:00 AMJan 3, 11:59 PM

35.12%chance

524200

OptionVotes

YES

1122

237

William Baude admitted to Supreme Court Bar by EOY2030?

Jun 7, 10:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49.49%chance

113528

OptionVotes

YES

10103

9898

Will Chaya Raichik (Libs of TikTok) be found guilty in a US court of law by the end of 2030?

Feb 22, 1:46 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

16.33%chance

392496

OptionVotes

YES

1625

750

Will the Supreme Court issue a merits decision that limits or overturns state or local rent-control laws before 2030?

Nov 23, 1:47 AMJan 2, 1:46 AM

33.02%chance

8850

OptionVotes

YES

2129

1474

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Will the International Court of Justice (ICJ) determine that Israel committed genocide in Gaza?

Will the US Supreme Court overturn gay marriage [Obergefell v. Hodges] before 2030?

Will at least one other person be found guilty in a court of law for involvement in Crooks' Trump assassination attempt?

Will the U.S. Supreme Court hold Trump or a member of his Cabinet in contempt?

[ACX 2026] Will the composition of the US Supreme Court change in 2026?

Will Sonia Sotomayor still be on the Supreme Court at the end of 2026?

When will the U.S. Supreme Court stop having a conservative majority?

Will Trump refuse to carry out or obey any Supreme Court decisions?

Did Donald Trump have sex with a minor (underage)? (Sworn court testimony or similar, by 2028-01-01.)

William Baude admitted to Supreme Court Bar by EOY2030?

Will Chaya Raichik (Libs of TikTok) be found guilty in a US court of law by the end of 2030?

Will the Supreme Court issue a merits decision that limits or overturns state or local rent-control laws before 2030?

Latest stories

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