Criminal Investigation News

US bombs Iran’s nuclear facility

Iran bomb a gulf country (inclusive of offshore platforms)

UN Security Council proposes a cease-fire resolution

Iran fires missiles that land within 50km of Tel Aviv or Jerusalem

Iranian General killed inside Iran

Donald Trump declares victory

Iranian government official declares victory

China attempts to broker a cease-fire/peace deal

US ally publicy condemns actions of US in regard to conflict

G7 member publicly condemns actions of US in regard to conflict

Trump's June 23 Cease-fire announcement is honored for at least 7 days

Iran imposes a nationwide internet shutdown lasting ≥ 24 hours

War ends in 2025

500+ Iranian civilians killed

US aid to Israel exceeds $17.9 billion for calendar year

Fordow facility successfully bombed

War Ends in June

Iran is back to negotiations with US about a nuclear deal

Coverage of ICE protests never recovers following the bombing of Iran's nuclear sites

Israel confirmed to have deployed troops on Iranian soil

Natanz Nuclear Facility destroyed

Iranian national arrested for espionage in USA

Israel publicly accused of violating a UN cease-fire resolution by the United Nations or a major international body

Iran launches a cruise missile

Israel government dissolves

At least one UNESCO World Heritage site in Israel or Iran is officially reported damaged by hostilities

Iran cause a mass casualty event (20+ deaths) by a single missle in Israel

Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei replaced for any reason

Iranian government official killed via small arms fire/special operations (not air/drone strike)

Iran publicly accused of violating a UN cease-fire resolution by the United Nations or a major international body

A terrorist event planned by Iran in a 3rd country targeting Israelis or Jews is successfully executed (5+ deaths)

Multiple Iranian government members chant "death to [non-NATO country]"

Iranian national arrested for planning/executing terrorism in USA

North Korea provides material support to Iran (weapons, money, etc.)

A poll indicates US citizen support for involvement of US in conflict is less than 25%

Cease-fire resolution passed by UN Security Council

Cease-fire broken by any party, causing conflict to resume

The International Criminal Court opens a formal war-crimes investigation tied to the 2025 Israel-Iran conflict

Iran seizes a G7-flagged ship in Hormuz

Straight of Hormuz is closed for less than 72 hours

Iran officially exits the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty

A warship exceeding 1000 tons is sank

There is a major Iranian cyberattack against the United States.

Russia delivers S-400 (or better) air defense system to Iran

USA vetoes a proposed UN cease-fire resolution

Major media source (BBC, NYT, Fox, CNN, etc.) refers to American involvement as "Iraq 2.0" or similar

WTI Crude futures reach 90usd/bll (NYME:CL.1)

Hezbollah initiates attacks on Israel (2 or more days of strikes, publicly announced by Hezbollah)

>=1 USA servicemember killed in connection with this conflict

A second cease-fire is announced

USA conducts a second bombing in Iran

>=1 USA civilian killed in connection with this conflict

Wikipedia lists Syria as a beligerent for more than 24 hours

Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz

Netanyahu is replaced for any reason (no longer acting prime minister)

A fifth generation fighter jet is destroyed

Turkey invokes NATO Article 4 consultations over the Israel-Iran conflict

Israel uses an EMP or directed energy weapon

Civilian manned aircraft destroyed in Iran, Iraq, Syria, Jordan, or Israel airspace

Iranian government dissolves

A poll indicates US citizen support for involvement of US in conflict is less than 10%

Holy sites of Israel are destroyed after the war.

Tel-aviv stock exchange closes for a full trading day

Iran regime change

Several terrorist attacks on U.S. soil causes casualties ( at least 2 attacks and 1 death)

Israel targets Iranian *production* or *export* oriented energy facility (refineries and storage for internal use don’t count)

Iran successfully bomb an Israeli civilian power plant or offshore platform

Russia stations combat jets on Iran soil

UN Security Council passes new Iran arms embargo with no vetoes

Saudi Arabia attacks Iran

Any amount of Israeli Merkava tanks are destroyed

Ayatollah Khamenei dies unnaturally

Iran tests a nuclear weapon

Brent crude closes ≥ $130 per barrel before 1 Jan 2026

There is a major foreign or terrorist attack on U.S. soil that kills 100+ people.

Total casualties exceed 10,000

Trump is frustrated that even by bombing another country he still can’t get any woman to find him attractive

War ends in July

Transitional Iranian government headed by Reza Pahlavi

State with >250k active military personnel joins war on side of Iran

Qatar attacks Iran

≥ 100 000 people flee Iran into Turkey or Iraq as registered refugees because of the conflict

US invasion (boots on the ground, special forces not included)

Will resolve to the number of days until a ceasefire (max 100). Ceasefire: one airspace is opened (at the very least). Stars June 21 2025

A nuclear weapon is used offensively.

YES

Take control of the army National Guard of a state (not just announcement)

federalize a city or area currently under control of another state (not DC)

request and successfully redraw 1 or more state districts

pass 500 or more executive orders

refuse to accept results of 2026 midterms in at least one state

A literal red line on the ground/floor

complete 50% of project 2025 as reported by project2025.observer

Actually privatizes at least part of the USPO

have a journalist arrested

explicitly conditions FEMA aid to a blue state on unrelated ideological issue

Gets angry with Putin and renews (also indirect) nuclear threat.

repeal or reform the dietary guidelines

Eliminate ACA's requirement to cover the morning after pill

Stays alive

order the arrest of a governor by name even if it does not happen

Weaken regulations on baby formula as per project 2025

intervenes to stop a federal criminal investigation into a high ranking republican

File lawsuit against a congressperson

Revoke ten or more citizenships

repeal the Federal Sugar program (USDA) as suggested by project 2025

resume buying oil from Russia

Order the arrest of a sitting member of congress

complete 66% of project 2025 as reported by project2025.observer

Pardons an officer for a crime committed on the job enforcing immigration laws

Closes or makes radical ideological changes to The National Museum of African American History and Culture

Gets influence on Gaza strip to make investment deals with real estate or buys land.

Add a citizenship question to the census

closes 1 or more national parks (63 as of question creation)

Call for the banning of HRT (hormone replacement therapy)

sends USA troops to enter Mexico without permission

Sunset the Office of Accountability and Whistleblower Protection (Veteran Affairs)

Prosecute someone for flag burning

Announce he’s running for a third term

complete 75% of project 2025 as reported by project2025.observer

Remove tax exempt status from one or more universities

ten or more protestors killed during term

Dep

Causes Tina Peters' early release

have the DOJ "classify educators and public librarians" who discuss "transgender ideology" with minors as "sex offenders." as per project 2025

put his name on a ship in the navy

appoint a family member to lead any federal agency

request and successfully redraw 2 or more state districts

declare he has officially undone a past presidential pardon

Orders an agency under federal control to arrest a congressperson

Deports at least one athlete during the 2026 FIFA World Cup

declare war and send troops to aggressively enter any new country

new blockade of a country

Eliminate the Office of Enforcement and Compliance Assistance (EPA)

Uses the US military or National Guard to prevent at least one legal voter from casting a ballot during 2028 election

call for twitter / x to ban account of a democrat politician

Enforce the Comstock Act at least once

Call for the end of gay marriage

remove a major non NATO ally from the current list

Deports at least one Olympic athlete during the 2028 Summer Olympics

Eliminate the two-person train crew safety regulations (DoT request from Project 2025)

ban all new incoming students from china and/or india

complete 90% of project 2025 as reported by project2025.observer

call someone retarded through text or speech

repeal the federal mandate to label genetically engineered food (as per project 2025)

Pardons someone acting as a private citizen for an act in support of immigration enforcement (not an on duty officer)

Pardons a private citizen for an act in opposition to an anti-trump protest

Have USA test a nuclear bomb anywhere

Pass a federal "Parents' Bill of Rights" with regard to Education

Eliminate the DHS Office of Intelligence and Analysis

Remove all unions in the Dept. of Homeland Security

revoke broadcasting licenses of a media company he does not like

breaks ground on a trump building in Russia

add a new federal holiday in his honor

End congressional review of arms transfers to foreign countries (DoD)

Impose time-limits on how long low-income people can receive Medicaid in their lifetime

Lessen child labor regulations to allow "teenage workers" to work "inherently dangerous jobs". (DoL)

Pardon ghislaine maxwell

call someone a pedophile explicitely by name through text or speech

Privatize the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program

delete Juneteenth as a federal holiday

get ukraine to agree to give up ALL of the donbas AND crimea to russia

Enact price controls on groceries

enact special taxes or tariffs on a subset of states he does not like

force a census to happen when it normally wouldnt

Pardon a convicted pedophile

Raise contribution limits (FEC)

remove tax exempt from only certain religions

Airstrikes or bombs Mexican territory (drone artillery etc count)

Prohibit use of aborted fetal cells in research for new medical applications as per project 2025

Prevent the VA from covering abortion services

Call for the default of the United States sovereign debt

stops all sanctions on Russia

Wind down and privatize Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac

issue circulation coin or bill with his image or pass laws to do that in the near future

Call for the assassination of the leader of an allied nation

Eliminate the Office of Children’s Health Protection

all time high unemployment reached

Ban construction of new windmills in the USA for power generation

forcibly shuts down a windmill farm power plant or revokes permits etc

Repeal the Global Change Research Act of 1990

Eliminate all administrative proceedings within the SEC

Threatening to attack a US defence pact ally (e.g. NATO, Rio Pact etc.) with nuclear weapons

announce that a part of Canada belongs to the USA

Mandate time-and-a-half compensation on a Sabbath (project 2025 request)

Causes derek chauvin's early release

host putin at mar a lago

Fully or partially privatize Social Security

debank a congressperson governor or mayor

Remove all federal funding for SNAP/food stamps

Eliminate the U.S. Trade and Development Agency

Eliminate the Federal Reserve mission of full employment

force a former president to testify before Congress

repeal Obamacare

ends black history month

Repeal of the Antiquities Act of 1906

Delist the grizzly bear AND gray wolf from the Endangered Species Act

Pardon p diddy

Withdraw from NATO

expand the borders of the usa

pardon george santos

make statements that are negative about labubu

orders arrests of any Biden family member

changes the logo or name of a previously offensive sport team (pressures until they actually do it)

ban trans people from holding federal offices

take control of a part of ukraine

add a new state

After the ballroom he starts building a palace for the future Trump-Monarchy

have a supreme court justice impeached and/or removed

Raise the retirement age for social security

Require all schools that receive federal funding to give students the military entrance test.

Replace his Vice President

confiscate 1 million or more from an individual Congress person

have FBI DOJ or other agency charge a congressperson with treason

pardon derek chauvin

cause Fox, nbc CNN MSNBC or another main news channel to shut down

change it so that presidents can serve 3 or more terms again

declares a white history month

Implement a federal age of consent

Call for the death penalty of any former president by name

expand the supreme Court and appoint someone new

Eliminate the DOE Loan Program

stop California from hosting the Olympics

Call for the abolition of the voting rights act or the 15th amendment

breaks ground on a trump building in Gaza

federally mandate ten commandments or Bible in classrooms

Implement a federal abortion ban

confiscate 1 million or more from the Democratic party itself

Dissolve/shut down/abolish NASA

Call for the end of interracial marriage

Call for the end of the House of Reps

sells 100 square miles or more of federal property to private owners or other countries

cancel the 2028 election / it doesnt happen for any reason

take control of a part of greenland

repeal an amendment

Deports all the athletes of at least one nation during the 2028 Summer Olympics

Deports all the athletes of at least one nation during the 2026 FIFA World Cup

change or add a face on Mount Rushmore

Annex any part of Mexico

Accept a gift of an airplane to *himself personally* (not a gift to the US government)

change the borders of a state

Detonates a nuclear weapon as an act of war

Salute Putin

Call for the end of the Senate

Abolish the Federal Reserve and move to a "free banking" system

fauci in jail at least one week

enter a mutual defense partnership with russia or north korea

Does Nazi / Roman salute with same passion as Elon's gesture

give sell or otherwise transfer a part of Alaska to Russia

bans anime

John Bolton – Former National Security Advisor under President Trump

John Brennan – Former Director of the CIA under President Obama, currently a Senior National Security and Intelligence Analyst at NBC and MSNBC

James Comey – Former FBI Director

James Clapper – Former Director of National Intelligence under President Obama, currently a National Security Analyst at CNN

John Carlin – Acting Deputy Attorney General, former head of National Security Division at DoJ during the Russia Gate investigation by FBI

Merrick Garland – Attorney General under President Biden

Loretta Lynch – Former Attorney General under President Obama

Susan Rice – Former National Security Advisor under President Obama, currently Director of the Domestic Policy Council under President Biden

Alexander Vindman – Former Director for European Affairs on the NSC under President Trump

Hillary Clinton – Former Democrat Party Nominee for President and Former Secretary of State under President Obama

Kamala Harris – Vice President of the United States

Fiona Hill – Former NSC staffer who worked with Vindman and Ciaramella

Eric Holder – Former Attorney General under President Obama and current Senior Counsel at Covington law firm

Robert Mueller – Former Director of the FBI and Special Counsel

John Podesta – Former Counselor to President Obama

Lisa Page – Former Legal Counsel for Deputy Director of the FBI Andrew McCabe and currently a National Security and Legal Analyst at NBC and MSNBC

Christopher Wray – Director of the FBI under President Trump and President Biden, former partner at King & Spalding

Stephen Boyd – Former head of Legislative Affairs at DoJ under Deputy Attorney General Rosenstein

Samantha Power – Former Ambassador to the United Nations under President Obama, currently Administrator of the United States Agency for International Development

Sally Yates – Former Deputy Attorney General under President Obama and briefly the Acting Attorney General under President Trump

Evelyn Farkas – Former DoD official under President Obama

Lloyd Austin – Secretary of Defense under President Biden

Gina Haspel – Former Director of the CIA under President Trump and current advisor at King & Spalding law firm

Andrew McCabe – Former Deputy Director of the FBI under President Trump

Ryan McCarthy – Former Secretary of the Army under President Trump

Mark Milley – Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff

Rod Rosenstein – Former Deputy Attorney General under President Trump and current partner at King & Spalding law firm

Jake Sullivan – National Security Advisor under President Biden

James Baker – Former General Counsel for the FBI, currently a member of the Brookings Institute, former Deputy General Counsel at Twitter

Eric Ciaramella – Former NSC staffer within the Obama and Trump administrations

Mark Esper – Former Secretary of Defense under President Trump

Sarah Isgur Flores – Former Head of Communications at DoJ for AG Sessions

Curtis Heide – FBI Agent

Lois Lerner – Former Director of the IRS under President Obama

Denis McDonough – Former Chief of Staff for President Obama and currently Secretary of Veterans Affairs

Lisa Monaco – Deputy Attorney General of the United States

Pat Philbin – Former Deputy White House Counsel under President Trump

Peter Strzok – Former Deputy Assistant Director of the FBI's Counterintelligence Division

Michael Sussmann – Former legal representative for the Democratic National Committee and former partner at Perkins Coie law firm

Miles Taylor – Former DHS official under President Trump, aka "Anonymous"

Robert Hur – Special Counsel to investigate Biden and former PADAG under Rosenstein

Andrew Weissman – Former Deputy under Special Counsel Mueller

Michael Atkinson – Former Intelligence Community Inspector General

Pat Cipollone – Former White House Counsel under President Trump

Timothy Thibault – Former Assistant Special Agent at the FBI's Washington Field Office

Joe Biden – President of the United States

Cassidy Hutchinson – Aide to Mark Meadows

Bruce Ohr – Former Associate Deputy Attorney General

Brian Auten – Supervisory Intelligence Analyst within the FBI

Bill Barr – Former Attorney General under President Trump

Elizabeth Dibble – Former Deputy Chief of Mission at the US Embassy in London

Alyssa Farah – Former Director of Strategic Communications under President Trump

Stephanie Grisham – Former Press Secretary for President Trump and Chief of Staff for Melania Trump

Nina Jankowicz – Former Executive Director of the Disinformation Governance Board in the Biden administration

Charles Kupperman – Former Deputy National Security Advisor under President Trump

Kenneth Mackenzie – Retired US Marine Corps General and former Commander of the United States Central Command

Mary McCord – Former Acting Assistant Attorney General for National Security at the DoJ and currently the Executive Director for the Georgetown Law Institute for Constitutional Advocacy and Protection

Sally Moyer – Former Supervisory Attorney at the FBI and currently Legal Counsel at Cloudflare

Bill Priestap – Former Assistant Director for the FBI Counterintelligence Division

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YES

NO

YES

YES

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YES