Crisis News

Trump’s One Big Beautiful Bill Act and 2025 Budget Rollback Threaten Medicaid for 650,000 in NC and Mental Health Services Including 988 LGBTQ+ Support

6 months ago

Will the United States experience a constitutional crisis before 2030?

Jul 10, 8:22 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

65.71%chance

14946855

OptionVotes

YES

1531

399

Will there be another EA reputational crisis before 2028?

Nov 14, 3:48 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

76.69%chance

879641

OptionVotes

YES

1775

1245

Will there be a banking crisis in the United States before the midterms?

Mar 4, 5:43 PMMay 5, 6:59 AM

17.97%chance

152933

OptionVotes

YES

2137

468

Will there be a massive global financial crisis, larger than any before seen in human history, before the end of 2028?

Jul 31, 10:54 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

4.56%chance

161721

OptionVotes

YES

702

108

In the Crisis in Cosmology, the CMBR answer is closer to correct than the supernovae results

Oct 27, 2:34 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50.12%chance

151633

OptionVotes

YES

1045

982

Is Russia accelerating the climate crisis?

Feb 27, 7:48 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

47.77%chance

121367

OptionVotes

YES

1046

956

Will the Fertility Crisis be solved by Fertility Technology ( Artificial Wombs, Embryo Selection, Robot Nannies etc.)

Mar 16, 2:27 PMJan 1, 12:59 PM

61.29%chance

201226

OptionVotes

YES

1313

717

In what year will the next great financial crisis in the US occur?

Mar 6, 6:15 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11762

OptionProbability

Other

2028

2026

2025

2030

2024

2022

2023

2027

2029

Tehran Water Crisis Prop Bets

Nov 30, 4:46 PMMar 31, 2:50 PM

6235

OptionProbability

Will Tehran record less than 50mm of total rainfall from December 1st 2025 to March 31st 2026?

Will the Iranian government officially announce daytime residential water rationing?

Will the government announce plans to reduce agricultural water allocation?

Will the government issue a mandatory evacuation order for any district of Tehran?

Will the Iranian Parliament pass a bill to formally move the capital city from Tehran?

Will the Iranian government import water (or sign an agreement to) from other countries to supply over 50% of Tehran?

Will the government significantly raise residential water prices?

Will the president or Supreme Leader publicly admit governmental mismanagement caused the crisis?

Will New York City government have a 1975 style financial crisis, threat of bankruptcy, before the end of 2028?

Mar 29, 1:32 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

49.12%chance

9159

OptionVotes

YES

200

If Javier Milei abolishes the Central Bank of Argentina, will it cause a recession or financial crisis?

Nov 24, 11:45 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

36.89%chance

10136

OptionVotes

YES

240

189

Will there be a cuban missile crisis level incident in the south china sea by end of 2027?

Dec 16, 8:56 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

38.08%chance

433

OptionVotes

YES

137

Latest stories

Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
US Legislation
US Domestic Policy
Health
Trump’s One Big Beautiful Bill Act and 2025 Budget Rollback Threaten Medicaid for 650,000 in NC and Mental Health Services Including 988 LGBTQ+ Support
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6 months ago

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Prediction markets for Crisis

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Prediction markets for Crisis

Will the United States experience a constitutional crisis before 2030?

Will there be another EA reputational crisis before 2028?

Will there be a banking crisis in the United States before the midterms?

Will there be a massive global financial crisis, larger than any before seen in human history, before the end of 2028?

In the Crisis in Cosmology, the CMBR answer is closer to correct than the supernovae results

Is Russia accelerating the climate crisis?

Will the Fertility Crisis be solved by Fertility Technology ( Artificial Wombs, Embryo Selection, Robot Nannies etc.)

In what year will the next great financial crisis in the US occur?

Tehran Water Crisis Prop Bets

Will New York City government have a 1975 style financial crisis, threat of bankruptcy, before the end of 2028?

If Javier Milei abolishes the Central Bank of Argentina, will it cause a recession or financial crisis?

Will there be a cuban missile crisis level incident in the south china sea by end of 2027?

Latest stories

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