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Prediction markets for Crisis
Will the United States experience a constitutional crisis before 2030?
Jul 10, 8:22 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM
83.49%chance
14844993
OptionVotes
2115
209
Will the 2024 US presidential election trigger a constitutional crisis?
Feb 21, 9:01 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
1.02%chance
6522304
OptionVotes
10427
140
Will there be another EA reputational crisis before 2028?
Nov 14, 3:48 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM
76.69%chance
879641
OptionVotes
1775
1245
Will any OECD country undergo a sovereign debt crisis by end of 2025?
Sep 29, 1:08 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM
6.32%chance
142264
OptionVotes
1541
876
Will there be a banking crisis in the United States before the midterms?
Mar 4, 5:43 PMOct 5, 6:59 AM
28.25%chance
121872
OptionVotes
1594
627
In the Crisis in Cosmology, the CMBR answer is closer to correct than the supernovae results
Oct 27, 2:34 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
50.12%chance
151633
OptionVotes
1045
982
OptionVotes
1046
956
Will the Fertility Crisis be solved by Fertility Technology ( Artificial Wombs, Embryo Selection, Robot Nannies etc.)
Mar 16, 2:27 PMJan 1, 12:59 PM
45%chance
20876
OptionVotes
1022
967
OptionProbability
43
37
7
6
4
1
0
0
0
0
Contingent Market: Donald Trump Election and Constitutional Crisis
Feb 10, 10:44 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
10282
OptionProbability
84
55
Will New York City government have a 1975 style financial crisis, threat of bankruptcy, before the end of 2028?
Mar 29, 1:32 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
39.32%chance
9109
OptionVotes
245
164
Will there be a cuban missile crisis level incident in the south china sea by end of 2027?
Dec 16, 8:56 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
38.08%chance
433
OptionVotes
137
90
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