Crisis News

Trump’s One Big Beautiful Bill Act and 2025 Budget Rollback Threaten Medicaid for 650,000 in NC and Mental Health Services Including 988 LGBTQ+ Support

9 months ago

Will the United States experience a constitutional crisis before 2030?

Jul 10, 8:22 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

55%chance

15147958

OptionVotes

YES

1318

538

Will there be another EA reputational crisis before 2028?

Nov 14, 3:48 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

76.69%chance

879641

OptionVotes

YES

1775

1245

In the Crisis in Cosmology, the CMBR answer is closer to correct than the supernovae results

Oct 27, 2:34 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50.12%chance

151633

OptionVotes

YES

1045

982

Is Russia accelerating the climate crisis?

Feb 27, 7:48 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

47.77%chance

121367

OptionVotes

YES

1046

956

Will the Fertility Crisis be solved by Fertility Technology ( Artificial Wombs, Embryo Selection, Robot Nannies etc.)

Mar 16, 2:27 PMJan 1, 12:59 PM

61.29%chance

201226

OptionVotes

YES

1313

717

Will the US undergo a major political crisis before 2027

Jul 4, 6:28 AMJan 11, 7:59 AM

54.41%chance

15571

OptionVotes

YES

109

Contingent Market: Donald Trump Election and Constitutional Crisis

Feb 10, 10:44 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

10364

OptionProbability

Trump wins: Constitutional Crisis

Trump loses: Constitutional Crisis

Will someone be held accountable for Sydney's asbestos contamination crisis?

Feb 20, 12:55 AMFeb 27, 10:26 PM

90%chance

6285

OptionVotes

YES

208

Will an Emergency Fiscal / Budgetary Crisis occur in New York (NYC) under Mayor Zohran Mamdani 💰🤑🏛️💥📈 🗽🏙️

Jan 14, 3:54 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

77.24%chance

6282

OptionVotes

YES

184

Will New York City government have a 1975 style financial crisis, threat of bankruptcy, before the end of 2028?

Mar 29, 1:32 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

49.12%chance

9159

OptionVotes

YES

200

If Javier Milei abolishes the Central Bank of Argentina, will it cause a recession or financial crisis?

Nov 24, 11:45 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

36.89%chance

10136

OptionVotes

YES

240

189

Will there be a cuban missile crisis level incident in the south china sea by end of 2027?

Dec 16, 8:56 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

38.08%chance

433

OptionVotes

YES

137

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Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
US Legislation
US Domestic Policy
Health
Trump’s One Big Beautiful Bill Act and 2025 Budget Rollback Threaten Medicaid for 650,000 in NC and Mental Health Services Including 988 LGBTQ+ Support
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9 months ago

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Prediction markets for Crisis

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Prediction markets for Crisis

Will the United States experience a constitutional crisis before 2030?

Will there be another EA reputational crisis before 2028?

In the Crisis in Cosmology, the CMBR answer is closer to correct than the supernovae results

Is Russia accelerating the climate crisis?

Will the Fertility Crisis be solved by Fertility Technology ( Artificial Wombs, Embryo Selection, Robot Nannies etc.)

Will the US undergo a major political crisis before 2027

Contingent Market: Donald Trump Election and Constitutional Crisis

Will someone be held accountable for Sydney's asbestos contamination crisis?

Will an Emergency Fiscal / Budgetary Crisis occur in New York (NYC) under Mayor Zohran Mamdani 💰🤑🏛️💥📈 🗽🏙️

Will New York City government have a 1975 style financial crisis, threat of bankruptcy, before the end of 2028?

If Javier Milei abolishes the Central Bank of Argentina, will it cause a recession or financial crisis?

Will there be a cuban missile crisis level incident in the south china sea by end of 2027?

Latest stories

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