Criteria News

José Antonio Kast Leads Chilean Race with 30% Vote, Ahead of Jara by 13 Points in Cadem Runoff Poll

3 months ago

Neural Nets will generate coherent 20-min films by the end of 2025 (less strict criteria market)

Jul 2, 8:07 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.12%chance

22089937

OptionVotes

YES

16786

850

[Metaculus] Will the world remain "normal" through 2030, according to specified criteria?

Jul 8, 2:52 PMJan 2, 7:00 PM

58.63%chance

194930

OptionVotes

YES

1191

840

Will 2025 be the warmest year on record? (fussy multi-dataset criteria)

Nov 8, 11:11 PMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

1%chance

111349

OptionVotes

YES

1078

Will Aaron Bergman find a job matching his criteria by EOY2025?

Oct 15, 2:33 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

45%chance

6982

OptionVotes

YES

1106

905

Will we have weak AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria)

Aug 3, 1:45 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

74.26%chance

16794

OptionVotes

YES

1323

855

Will Harvard be known to have applied race conscious admissions criteria between the 2023-2024 AY and 2028?

Jun 29, 7:02 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

86.75%chance

12365

OptionVotes

YES

1349

957

Will the Research Domain Criteria term return more than 50,000 results on Web of Science core collection, on 01/01/2030?

Mar 7, 12:56 PMJan 1, 11:00 AM

24.48%chance

2182

OptionVotes

YES

108

Will we have strong AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria)

Aug 3, 10:19 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

35.85%chance

10178

OptionVotes

YES

147

145

Resolution criteria mandatory for Yes/No markets on 12/12/2025?

Sep 9, 6:58 AMDec 12, 10:59 PM

14.39%chance

7151

OptionVotes

YES

244

Legacy Market, See Description for Resolution Criteria

Mar 19, 3:21 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

50%chance

19150

OptionVotes

YES

1008

992

Which market about the Wikipedia campaign to redefine the concept of sex has clearer resolution criteria?

Nov 24, 7:16 AM

Is it ok to trade on your own market (objective criteria) right before resolving?

Apr 1, 11:01 AM

720

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Aug 24, 2025
Aug 24, 2025
Chile
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José Antonio Kast Leads Chilean Race with 30% Vote, Ahead of Jara by 13 Points in Cadem Runoff Poll
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3 months ago

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Neural Nets will generate coherent 20-min films by the end of 2025 (less strict criteria market)

[Metaculus] Will the world remain "normal" through 2030, according to specified criteria?

Will 2025 be the warmest year on record? (fussy multi-dataset criteria)

Will Aaron Bergman find a job matching his criteria by EOY2025?

Will we have weak AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria)

Will Harvard be known to have applied race conscious admissions criteria between the 2023-2024 AY and 2028?

Will the Research Domain Criteria term return more than 50,000 results on Web of Science core collection, on 01/01/2030?

Will we have strong AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria)

Resolution criteria mandatory for Yes/No markets on 12/12/2025?

Legacy Market, See Description for Resolution Criteria

Which market about the Wikipedia campaign to redefine the concept of sex has clearer resolution criteria?

Is it ok to trade on your own market (objective criteria) right before resolving?

Latest stories

Join our channels

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Telegram