Criteria News

José Antonio Kast Leads Chilean Race with 30% Vote, Ahead of Jara by 13 Points in Cadem Runoff Poll

1 year ago

[Metaculus] Will the world remain "normal" through 2030, according to specified criteria?

Jul 8, 2:52 PMJan 2, 7:00 PM

60.61%chance

204980

OptionVotes

YES

1241

806

Will we have weak AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria)

Aug 3, 1:45 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

89.1%chance

262557

OptionVotes

YES

2607

594

Will Harvard be known to have applied race conscious admissions criteria between the 2023-2024 AY and 2028?

Jun 29, 7:02 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

87.24%chance

121116

OptionVotes

YES

1049

601

OpenAI Goes Broke before 2033 (See criteria)

Mar 14, 8:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25%chance

9963

OptionVotes

YES

1732

577

Will we have strong AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria)

Aug 3, 10:19 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

38%chance

10183

OptionVotes

YES

152

136

Will the Research Domain Criteria term return more than 50,000 results on Web of Science core collection, on 01/01/2030?

Mar 7, 12:56 PMJan 1, 11:00 AM

24.48%chance

2182

OptionVotes

YES

108

Legacy Market, See Description for Resolution Criteria

Mar 19, 3:21 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

50%chance

19150

OptionVotes

YES

1008

992

Resolution criteria mandatory for Yes/No markets on 12/12/2026?

Sep 9, 11:33 PMDec 12, 11:59 PM

30.25%chance

658

OptionVotes

YES

152

Is it ok to trade on your own market (objective criteria) right before resolving?

Apr 1, 11:01 AM

720

Should a market be halted when a major discussion on resolution criteria takes place?

Aug 26, 11:24 AMApr 19, 3:59 PM

480

Which market about the Wikipedia campaign to redefine the concept of sex has clearer resolution criteria?

Nov 24, 7:16 AM

Criteria suggestions for a deterministic chess bot

Nov 27, 2:08 AM

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Aug 24, 2025
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José Antonio Kast Leads Chilean Race with 30% Vote, Ahead of Jara by 13 Points in Cadem Runoff Poll
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1 year ago

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[Metaculus] Will the world remain "normal" through 2030, according to specified criteria?

Will we have weak AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria)

Will Harvard be known to have applied race conscious admissions criteria between the 2023-2024 AY and 2028?

OpenAI Goes Broke before 2033 (See criteria)

Will we have strong AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria)

Will the Research Domain Criteria term return more than 50,000 results on Web of Science core collection, on 01/01/2030?

Legacy Market, See Description for Resolution Criteria

Resolution criteria mandatory for Yes/No markets on 12/12/2026?

Is it ok to trade on your own market (objective criteria) right before resolving?

Should a market be halted when a major discussion on resolution criteria takes place?

Which market about the Wikipedia campaign to redefine the concept of sex has clearer resolution criteria?

Criteria suggestions for a deterministic chess bot

Latest stories

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Telegram