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Prediction markets for Criteria
[Metaculus] Will the world remain "normal" through 2030, according to specified criteria?
Jul 8, 2:52 PMJan 2, 7:00 PM
57.56%chance
225089
OptionVotes
1165
859
OptionVotes
2191
652
Will Harvard be known to have applied race conscious admissions criteria between the 2023-2024 AY and 2028?
Jun 29, 7:02 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
87.24%chance
121116
OptionVotes
1049
601
OptionVotes
1732
577
OptionVotes
152
136
Will the Research Domain Criteria term return more than 50,000 results on Web of Science core collection, on 01/01/2030?
Mar 7, 12:56 PMJan 1, 11:00 AM
24.48%chance
2182
OptionVotes
108
48
OptionVotes
1008
992
Resolution criteria mandatory for Yes/No markets on 12/12/2026?
Sep 9, 11:33 PMDec 12, 11:59 PM
30.25%chance
658
OptionVotes
152
66
Should a market be halted when a major discussion on resolution criteria takes place?
Aug 26, 11:24 AMApr 19, 3:59 PM
480
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