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Prediction markets for Criteria
[Metaculus] Will the world remain "normal" through 2030, according to specified criteria?
Jul 8, 2:52 PMJan 2, 7:00 PM
58.63%chance
194930
OptionVotes
1191
840
Will Harvard be known to have applied race conscious admissions criteria between the 2023-2024 AY and 2028?
Jun 29, 7:02 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
87.24%chance
121116
OptionVotes
1398
950
OptionVotes
1513
796
OptionVotes
1732
577
OptionVotes
152
136
Will the Research Domain Criteria term return more than 50,000 results on Web of Science core collection, on 01/01/2030?
Mar 7, 12:56 PMJan 1, 11:00 AM
24.48%chance
2182
OptionVotes
108
48
OptionVotes
1008
992
Resolution criteria mandatory for Yes/No markets on 06/06/2026?
Mar 4, 6:33 AMJun 6, 12:00 AM
16%chance
4129
OptionVotes
229
44
Should a market be halted when a major discussion on resolution criteria takes place?
Aug 26, 11:24 AMApr 19, 3:59 PM
480
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