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Prediction markets for Crypto

Will audio recordings of FDIC malfeasance vis crypto be confirmed?

Jan 12, 9:50 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

13.08%chance

5529537

OptionVotes

YES

NO

24482

4980

Cryptos and Stocks on Manifold 2025

Jan 3, 12:17 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

716300

OptionProbability

Ethereum

Tesla

Bitcoin

Solana

Dogecoin

25

25

20

17

11

On December 31, 2025, will Google, Meta, Amazon, Tesla, or X accept crypto as a payment?

Jan 22, 3:28 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

27.27%chance

4211019

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12653

8803

Will at least half of Americans (aged 30-40) possess crypto currency by 2060?

Nov 7, 4:30 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

64.03%chance

214270

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1135

765

Will >10 EA who had <$100M in Feb 28 2021 become a billionaire (in 2021 dollars) by Feb 28 2031, including crypto or inheritance?

Dec 10, 1:36 PMFeb 28, 5:00 AM

74.85%chance

211778

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1653

156

Will Binance be the largest crypto exchange market at the end of 2025?

Jan 11, 1:25 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

80.44%chance

141281

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1950

220

Will >10 people committed to EA who had <$100M in Feb 28 2021 become billionaires (in 2021 dollars) by Feb 28 2031, by means other than crypto or inheritance?

Dec 10, 1:35 PMFeb 28, 5:00 AM

39.6%chance

19799

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1192

506

US Crypto reserve hacked or disappeared before January 20, 2029?

Mar 25, 1:45 AMJan 19, 11:59 PM

35.72%chance

7767

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1341

745

Will the total crypto market cap reach >10 trillion USDe before 2030?

Sep 29, 5:19 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

49.18%chance

17671

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1016

978

Will USDC exceed 10% of crypto?

Nov 11, 11:53 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

21.99%chance

10276

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1107

949

Will crypto currency payments be a common thing for millions of people on any continent?

Nov 8, 2:31 AMDec 15, 10:59 PM

60.78%chance

1245

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1245

803

Will the US ban businesses/merchants from receiving large crypto transfers from non-'KYC'ed self-hosted wallets?

Mar 24, 3:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

48.56%chance

14166

OptionVotes

YES

NO

999

996

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