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Prediction markets for Crypto
Crypto currency retail trading will be banned in the USA before the end of 2027 due to use in war/terrorism/etc
Mar 22, 8:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
8.76%chance
65471
OptionVotes
3227
310
Will at least half of Americans (aged 30-40) possess crypto currency by 2060?
Nov 7, 4:30 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM
65.83%chance
224320
OptionVotes
1185
738
Will an EA who had <$100M in Feb 28 2021 become a billionaire (in 2021 dollars) by Feb 28 2031, by means other than crypto or inheritance?
Feb 20, 6:13 AMFeb 28, 5:00 AM
89.68%chance
473299
OptionVotes
2270
742
Will >10 EA who had <$100M in Feb 28 2021 become a billionaire (in 2021 dollars) by Feb 28 2031, *including* crypto or inheritance?
Dec 10, 1:36 PMFeb 28, 5:00 AM
84%chance
222092
OptionVotes
1872
100
Will there be an analogue of executive order 6102 for crypto, making ownership illegal?
Aug 23, 7:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
14.97%chance
512051
OptionVotes
1082
958
US Crypto reserve hacked or disappeared before January 20, 2029?
Mar 25, 1:45 AMJan 19, 11:59 PM
31.02%chance
8917
OptionVotes
1491
671
Will >10 people committed to EA who had <$100M in Feb 28 2021 become billionaires (in 2021 dollars) by Feb 28 2031, by means other than crypto or inheritance?
Dec 10, 1:35 PMFeb 28, 5:00 AM
39.6%chance
19799
OptionVotes
1192
506
Will the total crypto market cap reach >10 trillion USDe before 2030?
Sep 29, 5:19 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
49.18%chance
17671
OptionVotes
1016
978
Will Fred Ehrsam (crypto investor, co-founder at Coinbase exchange) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
Jan 18, 12:49 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
9.45%chance
10447
OptionVotes
1267
939
OptionVotes
1107
949
Will crypto currency payments be a common thing for millions of people on any continent?
Nov 8, 2:31 AMDec 15, 10:59 PM
60.78%chance
1245
OptionVotes
1245
803
Will the US ban businesses/merchants from receiving large crypto transfers from non-'KYC'ed self-hosted wallets?
Mar 24, 3:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
48.56%chance
14166
OptionVotes
999
996
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