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Prediction markets for Databricks
OptionProbability
100
95
93
75
49
44
39
35
33
32
27
25
22
21
19
18
17
14
13
11
11
3
OptionProbability
94
93
78
63
61
61
46
22
20
13
9
The Great AI Correction: Which company will be the largest casualty by 2030? - Add your guess!
Sep 27, 9:28 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
134333
OptionProbability
24
21
13
8
8
8
7
6
4
Who will release the first model to be credibly accused of being responsible for at least 100 deaths?
Sep 30, 4:49 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
292966
OptionProbability
42
19
9
8
5
5
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
Will any of OpenAI, Anthropic, or Databricks go public with a market cap over $200B by August 15, 2026?
Jan 12, 12:52 AMAug 17, 11:59 PM
13.59%chance
81020
OptionVotes
570
216
Who will publicly release the first language model to be credibly accused of being responsible for 100 deaths?
Oct 5, 2:30 AMDec 13, 7:59 AM
21733
OptionProbability
17
16
15
11
9
9
6
6
4
4
3
2
OptionProbability
83
10
5
2
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