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Prediction markets for DeepMind
Will DeepMind researchers win a Fields Medal before 2030?
Jan 16, 3:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
1.43%chance
3711745
OptionVotes
8402
653
Will Google Deepmind and OpenAI have a major collaborative initiative by the end of 2030? (1000 mana subsidy)
Jun 19, 7:06 AMDec 30, 9:39 PM
31.84%chance
778757
OptionVotes
3509
1069
Will Google DeepMind cause human extinction in the next 5 years?
Jul 9, 11:21 AMJul 9, 9:59 PM
3.83%chance
353321
OptionVotes
2700
978
Will OpenAI, Google Deepmind or Anthropic de-domicile from the UK/US before 2027?
Nov 1, 12:50 PMNov 10, 11:59 PM
5.89%chance
223118
OptionVotes
2939
748
Will "Why I Left Google DeepMind" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Jul 15, 6:58 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
90.89%chance
182684
OptionVotes
1779
29
Will OpenAI announce that they are cooperating with Deepmind, Anthropic, Meta or Google in order to mitigate race dynamics by 2027?
Feb 27, 5:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
54.03%chance
312454
OptionVotes
1229
575
Will a Google Deepmind model be ranked in the top 3 models at the end of 2026?
Aug 17, 5:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
33.92%chance
222242
OptionVotes
1396
716
By 2028, will I think DeepMind has been net-good for the world?
Dec 2, 8:32 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM
38.66%chance
251521
OptionVotes
1156
871
Is a room temperature superconducting crystal within the DeepMind-predicted dataset?
Dec 14, 3:49 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
7.83%chance
121370
OptionVotes
1235
946
Which of the following breakthroughs will Deepmind achieve by 2030?
Mar 1, 10:50 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
291192
OptionProbability
29
20
Will a top brand smartphone feature a DeepMind crystal material before 2028?
Nov 30, 9:00 PMJan 14, 11:59 PM
20.14%chance
161070
OptionVotes
1333
878
Will Anthropic, OpenAI and DeepMind voluntarily act in accordance with Trump’s executive order 14409 for all of 2026?
Jun 11, 10:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
63.01%chance
9247
OptionVotes
131
77
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