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Meta’s Superintelligence Lab Loses Eight Employees Including Rishabh Agarwal and Chaya Nayak Amid Billion-Dollar Hiring Spree

1 year ago

Microsoft Debuts Home-Grown AI Models, Testing Independence From OpenAI

AI Modeling

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Microsoft Debuts Home-Grown AI Models, Testing Independence From OpenAI

1 year ago

Will DeepMind researchers win a Fields Medal before 2030?

Jan 16, 3:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1.43%chance

3711745

OptionVotes

YES

8402

653

Will Google Deepmind and OpenAI have a major collaborative initiative by the end of 2030? (1000 mana subsidy)

Jun 19, 7:06 AMDec 30, 9:39 PM

31.84%chance

778757

OptionVotes

YES

3509

1069

Will Google DeepMind cause human extinction in the next 5 years?

Jul 9, 11:21 AMJul 9, 9:59 PM

3.83%chance

353321

OptionVotes

YES

2700

978

Will OpenAI, Google Deepmind or Anthropic de-domicile from the UK/US before 2027?

Nov 1, 12:50 PMNov 10, 11:59 PM

6.57%chance

202857

OptionVotes

YES

2678

765

Will "Why I Left Google DeepMind" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Jul 15, 6:58 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

89.83%chance

172654

OptionVotes

YES

1749

Will OpenAI announce that they are cooperating with Deepmind, Anthropic, Meta or Google in order to mitigate race dynamics by 2027?

Feb 27, 5:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.71%chance

302282

OptionVotes

YES

1352

453

Will a Google Deepmind model be ranked in the top 3 models at the end of 2026?

Aug 17, 5:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.57%chance

151707

OptionVotes

YES

1621

617

By 2028, will I think DeepMind has been net-good for the world?

Dec 2, 8:32 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

38.66%chance

251521

OptionVotes

YES

1156

871

Is a room temperature superconducting crystal within the DeepMind-predicted dataset?

Dec 14, 3:49 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

7.83%chance

121370

OptionVotes

YES

1235

946

Which of the following breakthroughs will Deepmind achieve by 2030?

Mar 1, 10:50 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

291192

OptionProbability

Find a room temperature superconductor, highly efficient photovoltaic cells, or an ultra-strong lightweight material

Find a cure for cancer, Alzheimer's or Diabetis

Will a top brand smartphone feature a DeepMind crystal material before 2028?

Nov 30, 9:00 PMJan 14, 11:59 PM

20.14%chance

161070

OptionVotes

YES

1333

878

Will Anthropic, OpenAI and DeepMind voluntarily act in accordance with Trump’s executive order 14409 for all of 2026?

Jun 11, 10:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.01%chance

9247

OptionVotes

YES

131

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Aug 28, 2025
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1 year ago
Aug 27, 2025
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Will DeepMind researchers win a Fields Medal before 2030?

Will Google Deepmind and OpenAI have a major collaborative initiative by the end of 2030? (1000 mana subsidy)

Will Google DeepMind cause human extinction in the next 5 years?

Will OpenAI, Google Deepmind or Anthropic de-domicile from the UK/US before 2027?

Will "Why I Left Google DeepMind" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Will OpenAI announce that they are cooperating with Deepmind, Anthropic, Meta or Google in order to mitigate race dynamics by 2027?

Will a Google Deepmind model be ranked in the top 3 models at the end of 2026?

By 2028, will I think DeepMind has been net-good for the world?

Is a room temperature superconducting crystal within the DeepMind-predicted dataset?

Which of the following breakthroughs will Deepmind achieve by 2030?

Will a top brand smartphone feature a DeepMind crystal material before 2028?

Will Anthropic, OpenAI and DeepMind voluntarily act in accordance with Trump’s executive order 14409 for all of 2026?

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