Defense News

Pentagon Prepares Strike Options Against Mexican Cartel Targets

1 year ago

Politics

Trump Signals Plan to Rename Pentagon the ‘Department of War’ Within Week

1 year ago

Will Luigi Magione’s defense claim mental health or substance impairment in court?

Dec 9, 9:07 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

16.02%chance

19736975

OptionVotes

YES

2290

437

OpenAI will be nationalized or have the Defense Production Act applied to it by mid 2030

Jun 5, 3:33 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

31.26%chance

7024069

OptionVotes

YES

14460

7017

Will Pete Hegseth serve a full term as Secretary of Defense (until January 2029)?

Jan 25, 1:15 PMJan 16, 4:59 AM

32.05%chance

12221319

OptionVotes

YES

1457

687

[Metaculus] Will the U.S. make an official statement before 2030 threatening nuclear use in the defense of Taiwan?

Jul 10, 10:57 PMJan 2, 12:00 PM

10.46%chance

115872

OptionVotes

YES

2926

342

If Pete Hegseth is confirmed, will he be seen drinking a drop of alcohol while he is Secretary of Defense?

Dec 5, 6:26 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

47.09%chance

423983

OptionVotes

YES

1202

1000

Before 2028, will the US Federal Government have paid more than $5B to NVIDIA under the Defense Production Act?

Dec 24, 3:24 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

8.18%chance

52620

OptionVotes

YES

3449

306

Will Elon Musk use the X rebrand as defense strategy during Twitter bankruptcy by December 2027?

Aug 12, 4:40 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

21.71%chance

191797

OptionVotes

YES

1772

640

EU defense stocks vs South Korea defense stocks: EUAD ETF outperforms KDEF ETF in total return by end of 2029

Mar 10, 2:16 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

44.39%chance

6801

OptionVotes

YES

1119

893

Medicare/Medicaid no longer #1 US budget item in 2028? (excluding defense)

Jul 9, 4:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.95%chance

8485

OptionVotes

YES

1395

717

Will Russia or North Korea honor mutual defense pact if the other is attacked?

Jun 19, 4:49 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

75.6%chance

6235

OptionVotes

YES

988

983

Elon Musk Work for the US Defense Industry to create weapons before 2040

Apr 23, 5:53 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

27.32%chance

11176

OptionVotes

YES

1030

981

Will "In defense of parents" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

May 4, 12:20 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

12.74%chance

2105

OptionVotes

YES

1098

985

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Aug 25, 2025
Aug 25, 2025
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Trump Signals Plan to Rename Pentagon the ‘Department of War’ Within Week
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1 year ago
Aug 21, 2025
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US Foreign Policy
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Will Luigi Magione’s defense claim mental health or substance impairment in court?

OpenAI will be nationalized or have the Defense Production Act applied to it by mid 2030

Will Pete Hegseth serve a full term as Secretary of Defense (until January 2029)?

[Metaculus] Will the U.S. make an official statement before 2030 threatening nuclear use in the defense of Taiwan?

If Pete Hegseth is confirmed, will he be seen drinking a drop of alcohol while he is Secretary of Defense?

Before 2028, will the US Federal Government have paid more than $5B to NVIDIA under the Defense Production Act?

Will Elon Musk use the X rebrand as defense strategy during Twitter bankruptcy by December 2027?

EU defense stocks vs South Korea defense stocks: EUAD ETF outperforms KDEF ETF in total return by end of 2029

Medicare/Medicaid no longer #1 US budget item in 2028? (excluding defense)

Will Russia or North Korea honor mutual defense pact if the other is attacked?

Elon Musk Work for the US Defense Industry to create weapons before 2040

Will "In defense of parents" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Latest stories

Join our channels

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