Defense News

Pentagon Prepares Strike Options Against Mexican Cartel Targets

7 months ago

Politics

Trump Signals Plan to Rename Pentagon the ‘Department of War’ Within Week

7 months ago

Will Luigi Magione’s defense claim mental health or substance impairment in court?

Dec 9, 9:07 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

49%chance

19129348

OptionVotes

YES

1020

980

OpenAI will be nationalized or have the Defense Production Act applied to it by mid 2030

Jun 5, 3:33 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

32.8%chance

6122391

OptionVotes

YES

13939

7262

Will Pete Hegseth serve a full term as Secretary of Defense (until January 2029)?

Jan 25, 1:15 PMJan 16, 4:59 AM

29.74%chance

11620228

OptionVotes

YES

1538

651

[Metaculus] Will the U.S. make an official statement before 2030 threatening nuclear use in the defense of Taiwan?

Jul 10, 10:57 PMJan 2, 12:00 PM

11.13%chance

105772

OptionVotes

YES

2826

354

If Pete Hegseth is confirmed, will he be seen drinking a drop of alcohol while he is Secretary of Defense?

Dec 5, 6:26 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

44.96%chance

393771

OptionVotes

YES

1253

957

Who would win if Ethiopia went to war against Eritrea and its ally,The Tigray Defense Force (TDF) ?

Feb 20, 1:36 PMDec 31, 1:34 PM

92664

OptionProbability

Eritrean Defense Forces and Tigray Defense Force will win the Fight.

Ethiopian Defense Force will win the Fight

It will be stalemate

Will Elon Musk use the X rebrand as defense strategy during Twitter bankruptcy by December 2027?

Aug 12, 4:40 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

20.99%chance

191753

OptionVotes

YES

1815

628

EU defense stocks vs South Korea defense stocks: EUAD ETF outperforms KDEF ETF in total return by end of 2029

Mar 10, 2:16 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

44.39%chance

6801

OptionVotes

YES

1119

893

Medicare/Medicaid no longer #1 US budget item in 2028? (excluding defense)

Jul 9, 4:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.95%chance

8485

OptionVotes

YES

1395

717

Will Russia or North Korea honor mutual defense pact if the other is attacked?

Jun 19, 4:49 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

77.85%chance

5205

OptionVotes

YES

1087

953

Elon Musk Work for the US Defense Industry to create weapons before 2040

Apr 23, 5:53 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

27.32%chance

11176

OptionVotes

YES

1030

981

Before 2028, will the US Federal Government have paid more than $5B to NVIDIA under the Defense Production Act?

Dec 24, 3:24 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

54.23%chance

4120

OptionVotes

YES

1119

949

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Aug 25, 2025
Aug 25, 2025
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Trump Signals Plan to Rename Pentagon the ‘Department of War’ Within Week
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7 months ago
Aug 21, 2025
Aug 21, 2025
Mexico
US Foreign Policy
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Defense News

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Prediction markets for Defense

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Prediction markets for Defense

Will Luigi Magione’s defense claim mental health or substance impairment in court?

OpenAI will be nationalized or have the Defense Production Act applied to it by mid 2030

Will Pete Hegseth serve a full term as Secretary of Defense (until January 2029)?

[Metaculus] Will the U.S. make an official statement before 2030 threatening nuclear use in the defense of Taiwan?

If Pete Hegseth is confirmed, will he be seen drinking a drop of alcohol while he is Secretary of Defense?

Who would win if Ethiopia went to war against Eritrea and its ally,The Tigray Defense Force (TDF) ?

Will Elon Musk use the X rebrand as defense strategy during Twitter bankruptcy by December 2027?

EU defense stocks vs South Korea defense stocks: EUAD ETF outperforms KDEF ETF in total return by end of 2029

Medicare/Medicaid no longer #1 US budget item in 2028? (excluding defense)

Will Russia or North Korea honor mutual defense pact if the other is attacked?

Elon Musk Work for the US Defense Industry to create weapons before 2040

Before 2028, will the US Federal Government have paid more than $5B to NVIDIA under the Defense Production Act?

Latest stories

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