Democratic Change Party News

Kenyan Deputy President Gachagua Cuts Short US Trip to Lead DCP By-Election Campaigns as President Ruto Dismisses Opposition Slogans

10 months ago

President Ruto and Raila Lead UDA-ODM Meeting as MPs Face Extortion Claims; Anti-Graft Team Suspended, Mutai Impeachment Trial Set, Gachagua Returns

10 months ago

Will Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?

Oct 26, 3:24 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

24.84%chance

783394684

OptionVotes

YES

6715

3343

Who will be the two major party nominees of the 2028 United States Presidential Election? (resolves 50% each)

Aug 13, 7:26 PMAug 26, 10:59 PM

210106266

OptionProbability

Other

JD Vance (Vice President)

Marco Rubio (Secretary of State)

Gavin Newsom (California Governor)

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (New York Congresswoman)

Jon Ossoff (Georgia Senator)

Kamala Harris (Vice President)

Pete Buttigieg (Biden Secretary of Transportation)

Donald J. Trump (45th & 47th President)

Josh Shapiro (Pennsylvania Governor)

Ron Desantis (Florida Governor)

Gretchen Whitmer (Michigan Governor)

Andy Beshear (Kentucky Governor)

Wes Moore (Maryland Governor)

Donald Trump Jr.

Greg Abbot (Texas Governor)

Mark Kelly (Arizona Senator)

Mike Johnson (Speaker of the House)

Ro Khanna (California Congressman)

Tim Walz (Minnesota Governor)

Nikki Haley (South Carolina Governor)

Michelle Obama (First Lady)

Glenn Youngkin (Virginia Governor)

Mark Cuban

Roy Cooper (North Carolina Governor)

John Fetterman (Pennsylvania Senator)

Are Republicans or Democrats better for the economy? [Annual GDP growth by presidential party]

Jul 9, 4:05 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

3175201

OptionProbability

Republican president, <2%

Republican president, >= 2%, <3%

Republican president, >= 3%, <4%

Republican president, >=4%

Democrat president, <2%

Democrat president, >= 2%, <3%

Democrat president, >= 3%, <4%

Democrat president, >=4%

Regime change in Cuba by 2030?

Jan 3, 8:00 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

67.56%chance

15528098

OptionVotes

YES

1444

693

Who will control the U.S. Senate after the 2026 midterms?

Jan 7, 4:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

609236

OptionProbability

Democrats

Republicans

Independents

Sen. Fetterman leaves Democratic Party before 2028 election?

May 16, 5:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.42%chance

293353

OptionVotes

YES

1266

790

8. AI a central issue in the 2026 U.S. midterms. Politics get complex, especially regarding job oss [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

67.37%chance

222338

OptionVotes

YES

1439

697

Will America remain a two-party system until February 2040?

Dec 11, 3:04 AMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

71.87%chance

171481

OptionVotes

YES

1127

937

Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040?

Jun 3, 9:34 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

43.68%chance

281402

OptionVotes

YES

1162

901

Will a Democratic president begin demolishing Trump’s White House ballroom before 2029

May 14, 7:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.3%chance

13619

OptionVotes

YES

1448

691

Will America remain a two-party system until 2050?

Dec 29, 6:53 PMJan 6, 4:59 AM

68.47%chance

15375

OptionVotes

YES

1042

877

Will the current Austrian coalition last until the end of the legislature period?

Nov 26, 9:30 AMJul 31, 10:59 PM

50.62%chance

3110

OptionVotes

YES

1012

988

Latest stories

Aug 20, 2025
Aug 20, 2025
Kenya
Politics
World
President Ruto and Raila Lead UDA-ODM Meeting as MPs Face Extortion Claims; Anti-Graft Team Suspended, Mutai Impeachment Trial Set, Gachagua Returns
Authors
4
10 months ago
Aug 14, 2025
Aug 14, 2025
Kenya
Politics
World
Kenyan Deputy President Gachagua Cuts Short US Trip to Lead DCP By-Election Campaigns as President Ruto Dismisses Opposition Slogans
Authors
3
10 months ago

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Prediction markets for Democratic Change Party

Will Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?

Who will be the two major party nominees of the 2028 United States Presidential Election? (resolves 50% each)

Are Republicans or Democrats better for the economy? [Annual GDP growth by presidential party]

Regime change in Cuba by 2030?

Who will control the U.S. Senate after the 2026 midterms?

Sen. Fetterman leaves Democratic Party before 2028 election?

8. AI a central issue in the 2026 U.S. midterms. Politics get complex, especially regarding job oss [See full title!]

Will America remain a two-party system until February 2040?

Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040?

Will a Democratic president begin demolishing Trump’s White House ballroom before 2029

Will America remain a two-party system until 2050?

Will the current Austrian coalition last until the end of the legislature period?

Latest stories

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