Democratic Movement News

YES

YES

YES

YES

NO

He will be nominated winning the Republican primary but lose the general election.

He will stay in until the Republican primary but lose it.

He will drop out before the Republican endorsement convention.

He will drop out after the Republican endorsement convention but before the primary.

Other

He will remain in the race through all stages and win the general election.

YES

NO

Authoritarian regime

Hybrid regime

Flawed democracy

NO

YES

YES