Democratic Movement News
Top stories
Prediction markets for Democratic Movement
Elon Musk endorses a Democratic candidate for primary elections in 2026?
Jun 9, 8:22 PMSep 30, 11:59 PM
24.39%chance
313953
OptionVotes
1761
568
OptionVotes
2012
497
Will a self-described 'democratic socialist' win the US presidential election in 2028?
Jul 6, 7:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
14.33%chance
263140
OptionVotes
2445
409
If the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran falls by 2030, will Reza Pahlavi lead the new government a year later?
Jan 8, 12:14 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
24.48%chance
241978
OptionVotes
1324
871
OptionVotes
1101
765
OptionProbability
25
22
15
15
15
5
3
OptionVotes
251
40
If Democrats win the 2026 Midterms will Republicans contest or deny the results?
Jan 12, 2:23 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
81.89%chance
7270
OptionVotes
213
47
Will MAGA represent more than 20% of the electorate after January 2029?
Mar 13, 10:36 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM
27.01%chance
493
OptionVotes
164
61
How much does firearm control and 2A rhetoric switch political parties?
Mar 4, 3:11 AMNov 2, 3:10 AM
30.76%chance
282
OptionVotes
112
63
Before 2030, will there be an AI-caused administrative disempowerment?
Aug 8, 5:52 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
34.42%chance
565
OptionVotes
4007
3989
Taiwan 2028 Long Range Market: Will the NPP win any seats in the 2028 Legislative elections?
Jan 14, 4:29 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
38.69%chance
317
OptionVotes
102
80