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Top stories

UK Delays Decision on Chinese ‘Super-Embassy’ in London to October

UK Delays Decision on Chinese ‘Super-Embassy’ in London to October

Authors

10

16 days ago

Prediction markets for Department for Housing

Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?

Aug 28, 4:50 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

43%chance

8712384

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1151

869

Will a deepfake impersonating a White House official lead to a military incident involving US troops by October 7, 2025?

Apr 10, 11:14 AMOct 7, 11:59 PM

4.35%chance

3210093

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2828

218

DOGE cuts $1T federal deficit by FY 2026?

Feb 4, 6:07 AMOct 1, 6:59 AM

4.32%chance

3710090

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4708

212

Will JetBlue announce that it has acquired Spirit Airlines before 2026?

Mar 29, 2:11 AMDec 1, 5:00 PM

3.68%chance

274982

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2614

691

California Exodus: Will California lose inhabitants between 2010 and 2030?

Nov 11, 10:03 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

37.61%chance

271695

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1348

703

Musk's role at DOGE ruled unconstitutional

Mar 14, 3:00 AMJul 1, 11:59 AM

15.54%chance

231233

OptionVotes

YES

NO

233

43

Will the Supreme Court rule against disparate impact by Dec 31 2026?

May 1, 12:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

61.12%chance

7537

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1054

598

Will the US recognize another genocide before 2029?

Jul 2, 3:07 PMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

66.36%chance

14525

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1050

959

Will any head of executive department appointed in the 2025-2029 Administration leave office in 2025?

Nov 10, 10:44 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

57.33%chance

11512

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1159

863

Next president to be declared incapacitated by 25th Amendment section 4

Feb 11, 2:56 AMOct 29, 9:18 PM

5303

OptionProbability

Other

Trump

Biden

84

15

1

Will the US government distribute free cryptocurrency to citizens before January 20, 2029?

Feb 20, 7:00 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

15.11%chance

9237

OptionVotes

YES

NO

237

42

Will the UK introduce compulsory English lessons for adult migrants receiving public benefits before 2027?

Jul 21, 10:14 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.16%chance

896

OptionVotes

YES

NO

112

89

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 23, 2025
Aug 23, 2025
China
Britain
World
UK Delays Decision on Chinese ‘Super-Embassy’ in London to October
Authors
10
16 days ago

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