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Prediction markets for Department for Housing
Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?
Aug 28, 4:50 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM
43%chance
8712384
OptionVotes
1151
869
Will a deepfake impersonating a White House official lead to a military incident involving US troops by October 7, 2025?
Apr 10, 11:14 AMOct 7, 11:59 PM
4.35%chance
3210093
OptionVotes
2828
218
OptionVotes
4708
212
Will JetBlue announce that it has acquired Spirit Airlines before 2026?
Mar 29, 2:11 AMDec 1, 5:00 PM
3.68%chance
274982
OptionVotes
2614
691
California Exodus: Will California lose inhabitants between 2010 and 2030?
Nov 11, 10:03 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
37.61%chance
271695
OptionVotes
1348
703
OptionVotes
233
43
Will the Supreme Court rule against disparate impact by Dec 31 2026?
May 1, 12:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
61.12%chance
7537
OptionVotes
1054
598
OptionVotes
1050
959
Will any head of executive department appointed in the 2025-2029 Administration leave office in 2025?
Nov 10, 10:44 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM
57.33%chance
11512
OptionVotes
1159
863
Will the US government distribute free cryptocurrency to citizens before January 20, 2029?
Feb 20, 7:00 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
15.11%chance
9237
OptionVotes
237
42
Will the UK introduce compulsory English lessons for adult migrants receiving public benefits before 2027?
Jul 21, 10:14 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
44.16%chance
896
OptionVotes
112
89
OptionProbability
80
59
59
45