Department of Energy News
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Prediction markets for Department of Energy
OptionVotes
224793
44485
OptionVotes
3243
194
OptionVotes
3796
264
Will there be an AI loss of control incident that causes over $100 million in damages in 2026?
Apr 1, 7:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
23.76%chance
273028
OptionVotes
1716
730
U.S. tests/uses nuclear weapon during Trump's presidency?
Nov 3, 11:51 PMJan 20, 11:59 AM
11.12%chance
241074
OptionVotes
283
35
OptionVotes
151
66
Will the DOE Hydrogen Shot Succeed in Reducing the Price of Renewable Hydrogen to $1/kg by 2030?
May 22, 1:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
30.58%chance
13469
OptionVotes
1225
879
Which prongs of the "3-3-3" economic plan will the Trump administration achieve by the end of Q1, 2028?
Dec 16, 7:20 PMJul 1, 3:59 AM
19436
OptionProbability
48
26
8
OptionProbability
69
12
4
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
OptionVotes
163
62
☀️ 🏡 When will the US meet the goal of 5¢/kWh for residential photovoltaics?
Dec 7, 4:21 PMApr 15, 6:59 AM
5104
OptionProbability
42
30
22
6
Second Trump administration holds at least one oil/gas sale for drilling in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge?
Jan 20, 8:15 AMJan 22, 7:59 AM
74.21%chance
580
OptionVotes
170
59
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