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Prediction markets for Department of State Services
Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?
Aug 28, 4:50 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM
56.6%chance
9413352
OptionVotes
1142
876
Will J.D. Vance publicly criticize the decision to attack Iran before 2029?
Mar 5, 4:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
83.3%chance
269576
OptionVotes
223
45
Will the FY2027 NDAA enter law by February 1st 2027, and direct U.S.-Israel military cooperation in AI?
Jun 6, 9:46 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM
61.83%chance
112048
OptionVotes
1138
717
Confirmed overflight of US Military aircraft over Cuba in 2026
Jan 13, 3:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
85.02%chance
131010
OptionVotes
1328
904
Will Florida PALM go live as scheduled on January 11, 2027?
May 30, 2:07 AMJan 11, 11:59 PM
52.22%chance
4412
OptionVotes
1045
957
OptionProbability
44
36
17
2
OptionVotes
163
62
OptionVotes
125
80
OptionVotes
110
99
Will all type of vaccines be abolished during the second Trump administration?
Sep 16, 5:52 AMJan 20, 7:30 AM
3.28%chance
252
OptionVotes
152
98
Federal workforce exceeds 2.35 million (excluding USPS) by March 31, 2030?
Sep 25, 12:35 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM
37.17%chance
130
OptionVotes
130
77