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Top stories

China Condemns Taiwan DPP's Denial of Communist Role in WWII as 'Blasphemy,' Highlights Ma Zhaoxu's Remarks

China Condemns Taiwan DPP's Denial of Communist Role in WWII as 'Blasphemy,' Highlights Ma Zhaoxu's Remarks

Authors

6

1 year ago

Taiwan Nuclear Plant Restart Referendum Fails With 4.34 Million Votes; Recall of Seven KMT Legislators Also Rejected

Taiwan Nuclear Plant Restart Referendum Fails With 4.34 Million Votes; Recall of Seven KMT Legislators Also Rejected

Authors

28

1 year ago

Kenya’s DPP Seeks Graft Charges Against Governors Barchok and Wangamati

Kenya’s DPP Seeks Graft Charges Against Governors Barchok and Wangamati

Authors

3

1 year ago

High Court Sets August 29 Deadline for DPP to Respond on Criminal Charges Against DIG Eliud Lagat Over Albert Ojwang Death

Authors

3

1 year ago

Prediction markets for DPP

Which of the following parties will be in office on December 31, 2028?

Aug 9, 4:31 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

696537

OptionProbability

CCP (China)

BJP (India)

PAP (Singapore)

CDU (Germany)

United Russia (Russia)

LDP (Japan)

Labour (UK)

PT (Brazil)

DPP (Taiwan)

Republican Party (USA)

Brothers of Italy (Italy)

TDP (Turkmenistan)

AKP (Turkey)

DPK (South Korea)

PSOE (Spain)

PFDJ (Eritrea)

PSUV (Venezuela)

Democratic Party (USA)

Renaissance (France)

SPD (Germany)

Fidesz (Hungary)

Likud (Israel)

Liberal Party (Canada)

97

94

93

83

82

78

69

67

60

55

50

50

47

43

38

38

35

34

32

30

29

28

27

Who will win a majority in Taiwan's parliament in the 2026 midterm elections?

Jan 23, 5:09 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9438

OptionProbability

中國國民黨 (Kuomintang, KMT)

民主進步黨 (Democratic Progressive Party, DPP)

台灣民眾黨 (Taiwan People's Party, TPP)

79

56

7

Condition on DPP winning the 2024 election, Will China attempt to invade Taiwan by the end of 2027?

Jan 12, 1:48 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

8.42%chance

8341

OptionVotes

YES

NO

492

100

Will China go to war with Taiwan before the DPP loses the Taiwanese presidency

Mar 29, 11:18 AMDec 6, 4:59 AM

39.47%chance

8212

OptionVotes

YES

NO

221

212

Condition on DPP winning the 2024 election, Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?

Jan 12, 1:48 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

27.68%chance

7147

OptionVotes

YES

NO

200

123

Will Lai Ching-te (of the DPP party in Taiwan) still be alive by EOY 2027?

Oct 21, 6:28 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

84.88%chance

3108

OptionVotes

NO

YES

198

49

DPP wins 2024 Taiwanese election? (Yes) → Chinese Annexation of Half of Taiwan by 2050

Apr 28, 7:21 PMJan 2, 5:01 AM

49.01%chance

11

OptionVotes

YES

NO

71

69

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