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Top stories

China Condemns Taiwan DPP's Denial of Communist Role in WWII as 'Blasphemy,' Highlights Ma Zhaoxu's Remarks

China Condemns Taiwan DPP's Denial of Communist Role in WWII as 'Blasphemy,' Highlights Ma Zhaoxu's Remarks

Authors

6

5 months ago

Taiwan Nuclear Plant Restart Referendum Fails With 4.34 Million Votes; Recall of Seven KMT Legislators Also Rejected

Taiwan Nuclear Plant Restart Referendum Fails With 4.34 Million Votes; Recall of Seven KMT Legislators Also Rejected

Authors

28

6 months ago

Kenya’s DPP Seeks Graft Charges Against Governors Barchok and Wangamati

Kenya’s DPP Seeks Graft Charges Against Governors Barchok and Wangamati

Authors

3

5 months ago

High Court Sets August 29 Deadline for DPP to Respond on Criminal Charges Against DIG Eliud Lagat Over Albert Ojwang Death

Authors

3

6 months ago

Prediction markets for DPP

How many City Mayor and County Magistrate elections will the DPP win in the 2026 Taiwan Local Elections?

Dec 23, 4:06 AMDec 23, 3:59 PM

1653

OptionProbability

7

4

6

5

0-1

2

3

8

9-10

11-13

14-17

18-22

18

17

15

14

6

6

6

6

6

2

2

1

Will China go to war with Taiwan before the DPP loses the Taiwanese presidency

Mar 29, 11:18 AMDec 6, 4:59 AM

39.47%chance

8212

OptionVotes

YES

NO

221

212

Condition on DPP winning the 2024 election, Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?

Jan 12, 1:48 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

29.38%chance

6137

OptionVotes

YES

NO

190

127

Which party will win the 2026 Kinmen County Magistrate Election?

Dec 23, 3:45 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1116

OptionProbability

KMT

TPP

Other

DPP

52

22

17

9

Will Lai Ching-te (of the DPP party in Taiwan) still be alive by EOY 2027?

Oct 21, 6:28 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

84.88%chance

3108

OptionVotes

NO

YES

198

49

Taiwan 2028 Long Range Market: Will the DPP run on a platform to maintain the status quo in Cross-Strait Relations?

Jan 14, 5:04 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

75.04%chance

3106

OptionVotes

NO

YES

138

63

Condition on DPP winning the 2024 election, Will China attempt to invade Taiwan by the end of 2027?

Jan 12, 1:48 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

20.5%chance

791

OptionVotes

YES

NO

242

138

Which party will win the 2026 Chiayi City Mayoral Election?

Dec 23, 3:27 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

130

OptionProbability

KMT

DPP

Other

55

25

20

Taiwan 2028 Long Range Market: Will any 'Green' party, except the DPP, win seats in the 2028 Legislative Election?

Jan 14, 4:41 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

54.95%chance

215

OptionVotes

NO

YES

75

65

DPP wins 2024 Taiwanese election? (Yes) → Chinese Annexation of Half of Taiwan by 2050

Apr 28, 7:21 PMJan 2, 5:01 AM

49.01%chance

11

OptionVotes

YES

NO

71

69

Will the DPP gain, hold or lose seats in the 2026 City Mayor and County Magistrate elections in Taiwan?

Dec 23, 4:20 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Gain

Hold

Lose

33

33

33

What will be the national vote share, by party, in the City Mayor and Country Magistrate elections in Taiwan in 2026?

Dec 23, 3:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

DPP

KMT

TPP

Independents

Other

20

20

20

20

20

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