ECI News

Rahul Gandhi, RJD Leaders Launch 16-Day 'Voter Adhikar Yatra' in Bihar Over SIR Vote Theft Allegations; Election Commission Responds

1 year ago

ECI 2026: Epoch Capabilities Index Highest Score

Dec 8, 10:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4697209

OptionProbability

Above 160

Above 170

Above 180

Above 225

Above 200

Above 250

100

Top AI Model 2026 (Epoch Capabilities Index, ECI)

Dec 8, 10:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18571238

OptionProbability

OpenAI

Anthropic

xAI

Other

Google

Which benchmarket will have the highest volume on MNX in 2026?

Apr 9, 5:22 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

817347

OptionProbability

Epoch Capabilities Index (ECI)

Other

Humanity's Last Exam (HLE)

ARC-AGI

FrontierMath

SWE-Bench

Which prediction markets will MNX list before November?

Sep 22, 10:13 PMOct 31, 11:59 PM

149738

OptionProbability

Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?

Takeoff: ECI >= 200 before 2028?

All Millennium Prize Problems solved before 2028?

Labor: US labor force participation in December 2027?

Will ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?

Leap: ECI record beaten by >= 9 points before 2028?

something about METR time horizon

Takeoff: ECI >= 200 before 2028?

Aug 8, 7:13 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

28.34%chance

315114

OptionVotes

YES

6634

3859

Will there be any Chinese Fable-level models by March 2027, defined as a model with an ECI score of 160 or higher?

Jul 14, 1:48 PMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

88%chance

131869

OptionVotes

YES

271

Leap: ECI record beaten by >= 9 points before 2028?

Aug 8, 7:13 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

8%chance

61753

OptionVotes

YES

2328

810

2 of the top 5 AI's are open source at eoy 2027? (ECI)

Jul 24, 3:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35.9%chance

91750

OptionVotes

YES

2623

2468

Will the next Claude Fable release score higher on ECI than the next GPT Astra release?

Sep 3, 9:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.18%chance

91236

OptionVotes

YES

1419

705

China Top: Chinese lab #1 on ECI before 2028?

Aug 8, 7:13 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

11.79%chance

3650

OptionVotes

YES

1650

882

SSI Top: SSI model #1 on ECI before 2028?

Aug 8, 7:13 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

6.74%chance

5215

OptionVotes

YES

1185

985

Which Organization will have the greatest score on ECI by EOY 2026?

Nov 17, 7:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5174

OptionProbability

OpenAI

Anthropic

Deepmind

Other

XAI

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Aug 17, 2025
Aug 17, 2025
India
World
Rahul Gandhi, RJD Leaders Launch 16-Day 'Voter Adhikar Yatra' in Bihar Over SIR Vote Theft Allegations; Election Commission Responds
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1 year ago

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ECI 2026: Epoch Capabilities Index Highest Score

Top AI Model 2026 (Epoch Capabilities Index, ECI)

Which benchmarket will have the highest volume on MNX in 2026?

Which prediction markets will MNX list before November?

Takeoff: ECI >= 200 before 2028?

Will there be any Chinese Fable-level models by March 2027, defined as a model with an ECI score of 160 or higher?

Leap: ECI record beaten by >= 9 points before 2028?

2 of the top 5 AI's are open source at eoy 2027? (ECI)

Will the next Claude Fable release score higher on ECI than the next GPT Astra release?

China Top: Chinese lab #1 on ECI before 2028?

SSI Top: SSI model #1 on ECI before 2028?

Which Organization will have the greatest score on ECI by EOY 2026?

Latest stories

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