ECI News

Rahul Gandhi, RJD Leaders Launch 16-Day 'Voter Adhikar Yatra' in Bihar Over SIR Vote Theft Allegations; Election Commission Responds

1 year ago

ECI 2026: Epoch Capabilities Index Highest Score

Dec 8, 10:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4797480

OptionProbability

Above 160

Above 170

Above 180

Above 225

Above 200

Above 250

100

Top AI Model 2026 (Epoch Capabilities Index, ECI)

Dec 8, 10:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19281731

OptionProbability

Anthropic

OpenAI

Google

Other

Takeoff: ECI >= 200 before 2028?

Aug 8, 7:13 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

54.69%chance

357891

OptionVotes

YES

8174

1558

Which model will have a higher ECI score end of November, Opus 5.5 or GPT-6 Astra?

Sep 28, 10:35 AMNov 30, 11:59 PM

175462

OptionProbability

GPT 6 Astra

Opus 5.5

2 of the top 5 AI's are open source at eoy 2027? (ECI)

Jul 24, 3:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.67%chance

112450

OptionVotes

YES

3168

2299

Will there be any Chinese Fable-level models by March 2027, defined as a model with an ECI score of 160 or higher?

Jul 14, 1:48 PMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

89.05%chance

161901

OptionVotes

YES

285

Leap: ECI record beaten by >= 9 points before 2028?

Aug 8, 7:13 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

10.5%chance

81835

OptionVotes

YES

1832

860

Will the next Claude Fable release score higher on ECI than the next GPT Astra release?

Sep 3, 9:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.18%chance

171530

OptionVotes

YES

1101

908

China Top: Chinese lab #1 on ECI before 2028?

Aug 8, 7:13 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

14.37%chance

6752

OptionVotes

YES

1376

923

SSI Top: SSI model #1 on ECI before 2028?

Aug 8, 7:13 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

6.74%chance

5215

OptionVotes

YES

1185

985

Which lab will top Epoch AI's Capabilities Index (ECI) on November 30, 2026?

Oct 31, 2:58 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

7115

OptionProbability

Anthropic

OpenAI

Google DeepMind

Other organization

Will the next Astra 6.1+ beat the next Fable 5.2+ on Epoch's ECI? (Apr 30 snapshot)

Nov 2, 7:04 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

52.35%chance

569

OptionVotes

YES

105

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Aug 17, 2025
Aug 17, 2025
India
World
Rahul Gandhi, RJD Leaders Launch 16-Day 'Voter Adhikar Yatra' in Bihar Over SIR Vote Theft Allegations; Election Commission Responds
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1 year ago

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ECI 2026: Epoch Capabilities Index Highest Score

Top AI Model 2026 (Epoch Capabilities Index, ECI)

Takeoff: ECI >= 200 before 2028?

Which model will have a higher ECI score end of November, Opus 5.5 or GPT-6 Astra?

2 of the top 5 AI's are open source at eoy 2027? (ECI)

Will there be any Chinese Fable-level models by March 2027, defined as a model with an ECI score of 160 or higher?

Leap: ECI record beaten by >= 9 points before 2028?

Will the next Claude Fable release score higher on ECI than the next GPT Astra release?

China Top: Chinese lab #1 on ECI before 2028?

SSI Top: SSI model #1 on ECI before 2028?

Which lab will top Epoch AI's Capabilities Index (ECI) on November 30, 2026?

Will the next Astra 6.1+ beat the next Fable 5.2+ on Epoch's ECI? (Apr 30 snapshot)

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