ECI News

Rahul Gandhi, RJD Leaders Launch 16-Day 'Voter Adhikar Yatra' in Bihar Over SIR Vote Theft Allegations; Election Commission Responds

1 year ago

ECI 2026: Epoch Capabilities Index Highest Score

Dec 8, 10:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3768844

OptionProbability

Above 160

Above 170

Above 180

Above 200

Above 225

Above 250

100

What will be the highest Epoch Capabilities Index score in 2026?

Jan 16, 8:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

3934507

OptionProbability

170-175

165-170

175-180

160-165

180-185

≥185

<155

155-160

Top AI Model 2026 (Epoch Capabilities Index, ECI)

Dec 8, 10:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8227119

OptionProbability

OpenAI

Anthropic

Google

Which benchmarket will have the highest volume on MNX in 2026?

Apr 9, 5:22 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

611093

OptionProbability

Epoch Capabilities Index (ECI)

Other

ARC-AGI

Humanity's Last Exam (HLE)

SWE-Bench

FrontierMath

Will there be any Chinese Fable-level models by March 2027, defined as a model with an ECI score of 160 or higher?

Jul 14, 1:48 PMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

88%chance

131869

OptionVotes

YES

271

Is the cognitive core hypothesis true? Will it be clear next year?

Dec 7, 7:06 PMDec 8, 6:39 PM

36.06%chance

81166

OptionVotes

YES

3996

2252

2 of the top 5 AI's are open source at eoy 2027? (ECI)

Jul 24, 3:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25%chance

7898

OptionVotes

YES

3466

2193

Will any AI model released before 2028 reach an Epoch general ECI of at least 200?

Aug 8, 7:13 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

23.07%chance

2300

OptionVotes

YES

6278

4810

Which Organization will have the greatest score on ECI by EOY 2026?

Nov 17, 7:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

250

OptionProbability

Deepmind

OpenAI

Anthropic

XAI

Other

Will a Safe Superintelligence model hold the #1 Epoch general ECI rank before 2028?

Aug 8, 7:13 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

8%chance

OptionVotes

YES

995

Will a model from a China-headquartered lab hold the #1 Epoch general ECI rank before 2028?

Aug 8, 7:13 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

20%chance

OptionVotes

YES

998

Will a pre-2028 AI model release beat the Epoch general ECI record by at least 9 points?

Aug 8, 7:13 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

20%chance

OptionVotes

YES

995

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Aug 17, 2025
Aug 17, 2025
India
World
Rahul Gandhi, RJD Leaders Launch 16-Day 'Voter Adhikar Yatra' in Bihar Over SIR Vote Theft Allegations; Election Commission Responds
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1 year ago

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ECI 2026: Epoch Capabilities Index Highest Score

What will be the highest Epoch Capabilities Index score in 2026?

Top AI Model 2026 (Epoch Capabilities Index, ECI)

Which benchmarket will have the highest volume on MNX in 2026?

Will there be any Chinese Fable-level models by March 2027, defined as a model with an ECI score of 160 or higher?

Is the cognitive core hypothesis true? Will it be clear next year?

2 of the top 5 AI's are open source at eoy 2027? (ECI)

Will any AI model released before 2028 reach an Epoch general ECI of at least 200?

Which Organization will have the greatest score on ECI by EOY 2026?

Will a Safe Superintelligence model hold the #1 Epoch general ECI rank before 2028?

Will a model from a China-headquartered lab hold the #1 Epoch general ECI rank before 2028?

Will a pre-2028 AI model release beat the Epoch general ECI record by at least 9 points?

Latest stories

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