Economic Security News

1 year ago

Will all 500 billion dollars from Project Stargate actually get invested within four years?

Jan 22, 3:37 AMJan 29, 4:59 AM

29.15%chance

6110099

OptionVotes

YES

5753

4784

Gas exceeds $4.50, and democrats control both House and Senate?

Apr 5, 6:51 PMNov 5, 11:59 PM

60%chance

376857

OptionVotes

YES

1225

816

Will the German federal government survive its full 4-year term?

Oct 27, 10:32 PMDec 8, 11:59 PM

44.35%chance

244598

OptionVotes

YES

1120

893

2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues.

Mar 11, 12:09 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

75.68%chance

173564

OptionVotes

YES

1159

926

8. AI a central issue in the 2026 U.S. midterms. Politics get complex, especially regarding job oss [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

77.1%chance

273066

OptionVotes

YES

1838

546

EU ends unanimous decision-making by EOY 2035?

Jul 14, 12:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.11%chance

112422

OptionVotes

YES

1824

548

Will Communism fall from power in Cuba by January 1, 2035?

Dec 5, 2:26 PMJan 2, 10:59 PM

78.1%chance

192068

OptionVotes

YES

1888

530

AI system achieves full technological and economic autonomy before 2028?

Sep 20, 7:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.52%chance

61498

OptionVotes

YES

1440

694

Will the planned city of Praxis begin construction by 2030?

Sep 14, 4:50 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

50.6%chance

261462

OptionVotes

YES

1285

546

U.S. 30 Year TIPS yield exceeds 4% before 2028?

Oct 10, 11:27 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

59.57%chance

81309

OptionVotes

YES

1214

824

Leopold Aschenbrenner makes no public statements of consequence for a 2-year period before 2035

Jun 10, 1:57 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

39.1%chance

10950

OptionVotes

YES

1248

801

[Making Sense: Peter Zeihan] Will the german state cease to exist before 2070?

Feb 23, 8:06 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

18.18%chance

19899

OptionVotes

YES

1264

921

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1 year ago

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Prediction markets for Economic Security

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Will all 500 billion dollars from Project Stargate actually get invested within four years?

Gas exceeds $4.50, and democrats control both House and Senate?

Will the German federal government survive its full 4-year term?

2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues.

8. AI a central issue in the 2026 U.S. midterms. Politics get complex, especially regarding job oss [See full title!]

EU ends unanimous decision-making by EOY 2035?

Will Communism fall from power in Cuba by January 1, 2035?

AI system achieves full technological and economic autonomy before 2028?

Will the planned city of Praxis begin construction by 2030?

U.S. 30 Year TIPS yield exceeds 4% before 2028?

Leopold Aschenbrenner makes no public statements of consequence for a 2-year period before 2035

[Making Sense: Peter Zeihan] Will the german state cease to exist before 2070?

Latest stories

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