Economic Security News
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Prediction markets for Economic Security
8. AI a central issue in the 2026 U.S. midterms. Politics get complex, especially regarding job loss [See full title!]
Dec 28, 11:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
62.52%chance
3826421
OptionVotes
1294
776
Will all 500 billion dollars from Project Stargate actually get invested within four years?
Jan 22, 3:37 AMJan 29, 4:59 AM
29.15%chance
6110099
OptionVotes
5753
4784
Will the German federal government survive its full 4-year term?
Oct 27, 10:32 PMDec 8, 11:59 PM
45.99%chance
254628
OptionVotes
1084
923
OptionVotes
2753
1315
2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues.
Mar 11, 12:09 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
75.68%chance
173564
OptionVotes
1159
926
OptionVotes
1729
578
Will Communism fall from power in Cuba by January 1, 2035?
Dec 5, 2:26 PMJan 2, 10:59 PM
74.07%chance
232286
OptionVotes
1690
592
Will the planned city of Praxis begin construction by 2030?
Sep 14, 4:50 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
52.86%chance
271699
OptionVotes
1320
513
AI system achieves full technological and economic autonomy before 2028?
Sep 20, 7:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
32.52%chance
61498
OptionVotes
1440
694
Leopold Aschenbrenner makes no public statements of consequence for a 2-year period before 2035
Jun 10, 1:57 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM
39.1%chance
10950
OptionVotes
1248
801
[Making Sense: Peter Zeihan] Will the german state cease to exist before 2070?
Feb 23, 8:06 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
18.18%chance
19899
OptionVotes
1264
921
Will Claudia Sheinbaum have a net positive approval rating at the end of May 2030?
Feb 18, 10:42 PMJun 1, 5:59 AM
44.34%chance
5152
OptionVotes
1018
984