Economic Security News
Top stories
Prediction markets for Economic Security
Will either the courts or congress significantly limit trumps ability to impose or negotiate tariffs by the end of 2025
Apr 7, 10:55 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
44.86%chance
17156517
OptionVotes
1289
782
Will all 500 billion dollars from Project Stargate actually get invested within four years?
Jan 22, 3:37 AMJan 29, 4:59 AM
22.28%chance
569159
OptionVotes
7326
4245
Who will cheerfully explain to @Krantz why his proposed solution to alignment of ASI isn't valid?
Jul 31, 6:33 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM
116854
OptionProbability
7
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues.
Mar 11, 12:09 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
71.93%chance
163414
OptionVotes
1009
979
OptionVotes
2277
439
Will the planned city of Praxis begin construction by 2030?
Sep 14, 4:50 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
32.6%chance
231176
OptionVotes
1023
921
OptionVotes
1062
940
Will Communism fall from power in Cuba by January 1, 2035?
Dec 5, 2:26 PMJan 2, 10:59 PM
39.69%chance
14989
OptionVotes
1233
811
Leopold Aschenbrenner makes no public statements of consequence for a 2-year period before 2035
Jun 10, 1:57 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM
39.1%chance
10950
OptionVotes
1248
801
[Making Sense: Peter Zeihan] Will the german state cease to exist before 2070?
Feb 23, 8:06 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
18.25%chance
18894
OptionVotes
1259
922
Party for Freedom (PVV) secures the most seats in the Dutch parliamentary election on October 29, 2025
Jul 26, 5:21 AMOct 29, 5:20 AM
57.95%chance
13867
OptionVotes
1174
852
Will Trump significantly cut taxes for people making under 150k a year?
Mar 16, 4:18 PMJan 20, 11:59 PM
8.03%chance
10255
OptionVotes
338
30