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Prediction markets for Economic Security
Will all 500 billion dollars from Project Stargate actually get invested within four years?
Jan 22, 3:37 AMJan 29, 4:59 AM
26.24%chance
589801
OptionVotes
6341
4559
2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues.
Mar 11, 12:09 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
71.93%chance
163414
OptionVotes
1009
979
OptionVotes
1724
580
Will Communism fall from power in Cuba by January 1, 2035?
Dec 5, 2:26 PMJan 2, 10:59 PM
69.29%chance
171693
OptionVotes
1502
666
8. AI a central issue in the 2026 U.S. midterms. Politics get complex, especially regarding job oss [See full title!]
Dec 28, 11:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
48.93%chance
171609
OptionVotes
1023
980
AI system achieves full technological and economic autonomy before 2028?
Sep 20, 7:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
32.52%chance
61498
OptionVotes
1440
694
Will the planned city of Praxis begin construction by 2030?
Sep 14, 4:50 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
32.6%chance
231176
OptionVotes
1023
921
Leopold Aschenbrenner makes no public statements of consequence for a 2-year period before 2035
Jun 10, 1:57 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM
39.1%chance
10950
OptionVotes
1248
801
Will the German federal government survive its full 4-year term?
Oct 27, 10:32 PMDec 8, 11:59 PM
38.39%chance
9694
OptionVotes
1267
789
OptionVotes
1020
980
OptionVotes
1308
765
OptionVotes
1352
740