Economic Security News

8 months ago

Will all 500 billion dollars from Project Stargate actually get invested within four years?

Jan 22, 3:37 AMJan 29, 4:59 AM

28.82%chance

5910001

OptionVotes

YES

5814

4759

Gas exceeds $4.50, and democrats control both House and Senate?

Apr 5, 6:51 PMNov 5, 11:59 PM

49%chance

295408

OptionVotes

YES

1020

980

2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues.

Mar 11, 12:09 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

75.68%chance

173564

OptionVotes

YES

1159

926

Will the German federal government survive its full 4-year term?

Oct 27, 10:32 PMDec 8, 11:59 PM

47.68%chance

203326

OptionVotes

YES

1048

955

EU ends unanimous decision-making by EOY 2035?

Jul 14, 12:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.17%chance

112322

OptionVotes

YES

1724

580

8. AI a central issue in the 2026 U.S. midterms. Politics get complex, especially regarding job oss [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

65.4%chance

222282

OptionVotes

YES

1377

729

AI system achieves full technological and economic autonomy before 2028?

Sep 20, 7:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.52%chance

61498

OptionVotes

YES

1440

694

Will the planned city of Praxis begin construction by 2030?

Sep 14, 4:50 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

32.6%chance

231176

OptionVotes

YES

1023

921

Leopold Aschenbrenner makes no public statements of consequence for a 2-year period before 2035

Jun 10, 1:57 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

39.1%chance

10950

OptionVotes

YES

1248

801

U.S. 30 Year TIPS yield exceeds 3% before 2027?

Oct 14, 11:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

53.38%chance

5520

OptionVotes

YES

1070

935

U.S. 30 Year TIPS yield exceeds 3% before 2028?

Oct 10, 11:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

67.83%chance

3452

OptionVotes

YES

1452

689

U.S. 30 Year TIPS yield exceeds 4% before 2028?

Oct 10, 11:27 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.9%chance

3377

OptionVotes

YES

1308

765

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Prediction markets for Economic Security

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Prediction markets for Economic Security

Will all 500 billion dollars from Project Stargate actually get invested within four years?

Gas exceeds $4.50, and democrats control both House and Senate?

2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues.

Will the German federal government survive its full 4-year term?

EU ends unanimous decision-making by EOY 2035?

8. AI a central issue in the 2026 U.S. midterms. Politics get complex, especially regarding job oss [See full title!]

AI system achieves full technological and economic autonomy before 2028?

Will the planned city of Praxis begin construction by 2030?

Leopold Aschenbrenner makes no public statements of consequence for a 2-year period before 2035

U.S. 30 Year TIPS yield exceeds 3% before 2027?

U.S. 30 Year TIPS yield exceeds 3% before 2028?

U.S. 30 Year TIPS yield exceeds 4% before 2028?

Latest stories

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