Election Commission News
Top stories
Prediction markets for Election Commission
OptionProbability
27
22
9
5
4
4
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionVotes
1333
750
U.S. federal government announces delay or suspension of 2026 midterm elections before November 3, 2026
Feb 4, 2:18 AMNov 2, 12:00 AM
3%chance
2721165
OptionVotes
17967
2050
Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?
Aug 28, 4:50 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM
43%chance
8712384
OptionVotes
1151
869
Will 2026 turnout exceed 2022? (US midterms, percentage)
Jul 4, 2:35 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM
81.61%chance
714548
OptionVotes
5441
4403
OptionVotes
1188
842
OptionVotes
1178
849
What will be true about the European Union before 2040? [add responses]
Jun 22, 9:59 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
161704
OptionProbability
76
62
61
60
51
50
50
50
49
47
41
40
33
26
25
24
12
Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins 10%+ of vote for a Congressional seat in 2026?
Jul 10, 1:17 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
42.73%chance
13546
OptionVotes
1158
864
If the Texas GOP succeeds in redistricting, will they gain seats in the midterms?
Jul 21, 11:15 AMNov 8, 12:14 PM
59.7%chance
12390
OptionVotes
1217
822
OptionVotes
1047
845
2026 President of the Cook County Board of Commissioners election winner
May 1, 4:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
2125
OptionProbability
41
32
27