Electoral College News

NYT Essay Urging Senate, Electoral College Overhaul Sparks Conservative Furor

10 months ago

Democrats Debate 2028 Primary Calendar as Iowa Eyes Rogue Caucus Amid 4.5 Million Voter Deficit and 2030 Census Shift

US Elections

Politics

Democrats Debate 2028 Primary Calendar as Iowa Eyes Rogue Caucus Amid 4.5 Million Voter Deficit and 2030 Census Shift

10 months ago

Who will be voted President of the United States by the Electoral College in 2028?

Oct 8, 10:24 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

4315083

OptionProbability

Other

Marco Rubio

Gavin Newsom

J.D. Vance

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Josh Shapiro

Kamala Harris

Gretchen Whitmer

Ron DeSantis

Nikki Haley

Donald Trump

Tulsi Gabbard

Ruben Gallego

Will either the 2024 or 2028 US presidential election result in an Electoral College tie?

Apr 2, 4:51 PMDec 1, 12:00 PM

4.4%chance

305507

OptionVotes

YES

1905

915

Will JD Vance refuse to certify any electoral college votes in the 2028 election?

Jul 16, 5:06 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

10%chance

182665

OptionVotes

YES

3000

333

Will there be an electoral college majority in the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Aug 11, 4:52 PMDec 15, 4:59 AM

90.42%chance

122205

OptionVotes

YES

3072

325

Will the US abolish the Electoral College for presidential elections by 2040?

Oct 29, 5:56 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11.3%chance

151934

OptionVotes

YES

1658

851

Will a Democrat have the Electoral College advantage in any of the next three elections (2024, 2028, or 2032)?

May 4, 5:22 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

58.47%chance

16762

OptionVotes

YES

1015

947

Will the US effectively abolish the Electoral College for presidential elections by 2040?

Oct 29, 12:25 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

18.61%chance

27665

OptionVotes

YES

1235

906

Will Nebraska change it’s electoral college to winner take all before the end of 2026?

Sep 21, 6:17 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

31.61%chance

6482

OptionVotes

YES

1471

680

[Metaculus] Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach majority in the Electoral college before 2030?

Nov 7, 2:31 PMJan 2, 8:00 AM

20.6%chance

13434

OptionVotes

YES

1011

885

Will the Electoral College be actually or functionally abolished before the 2032 election?

Aug 19, 6:53 PMNov 3, 6:59 AM

21.95%chance

7275

OptionVotes

YES

189

Will there be an Electoral College tie by 2049?

Jul 26, 5:34 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

14.72%chance

5106

OptionVotes

YES

231

If a Democrat wins the Presidency while losing the popular vote, will Republicans turn against the Electoral College?

Feb 21, 3:34 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

59.33%chance

646

OptionVotes

YES

157

107

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Democrats Debate 2028 Primary Calendar as Iowa Eyes Rogue Caucus Amid 4.5 Million Voter Deficit and 2030 Census Shift
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Who will be voted President of the United States by the Electoral College in 2028?

Will either the 2024 or 2028 US presidential election result in an Electoral College tie?

Will JD Vance refuse to certify any electoral college votes in the 2028 election?

Will there be an electoral college majority in the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Will the US abolish the Electoral College for presidential elections by 2040?

Will a Democrat have the Electoral College advantage in any of the next three elections (2024, 2028, or 2032)?

Will the US effectively abolish the Electoral College for presidential elections by 2040?

Will Nebraska change it’s electoral college to winner take all before the end of 2026?

[Metaculus] Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach majority in the Electoral college before 2030?

Will the Electoral College be actually or functionally abolished before the 2032 election?

Will there be an Electoral College tie by 2049?

If a Democrat wins the Presidency while losing the popular vote, will Republicans turn against the Electoral College?

Latest stories

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