Electoral College News

NYT Essay Urging Senate, Electoral College Overhaul Sparks Conservative Furor

4 months ago

Democrats Debate 2028 Primary Calendar as Iowa Eyes Rogue Caucus Amid 4.5 Million Voter Deficit and 2030 Census Shift

US Elections

Politics

Democrats Debate 2028 Primary Calendar as Iowa Eyes Rogue Caucus Amid 4.5 Million Voter Deficit and 2030 Census Shift

3 months ago

Who will be voted President of the United States by the Electoral College in 2028?

Oct 8, 10:24 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

3711257

OptionProbability

Other

J.D. Vance

Gavin Newsom

Gretchen Whitmer

Kamala Harris

Donald Trump

Ron DeSantis

Nikki Haley

Tulsi Gabbard

Will either the 2024 or 2028 US presidential election result in an Electoral College tie?

Apr 2, 4:51 PMDec 1, 12:00 PM

4.3%chance

295505

OptionVotes

YES

1949

913

Will JD Vance refuse to certify any electoral college votes in the 2028 election?

Jul 16, 5:06 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

10%chance

182665

OptionVotes

YES

3000

333

Will there be an electoral college majority in the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Aug 11, 4:52 PMDec 15, 4:59 AM

90.42%chance

122205

OptionVotes

YES

3072

325

Will the US abolish the Electoral College for presidential elections by 2040?

Oct 29, 5:56 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11.3%chance

151934

OptionVotes

YES

1658

851

Will the US effectively abolish the Electoral College for presidential elections by 2040?

Oct 29, 12:25 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

18.61%chance

27665

OptionVotes

YES

1235

906

Will a Democrat have the Electoral College advantage in any of the next three elections (2024, 2028, or 2032)?

May 4, 5:22 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

69.8%chance

14423

OptionVotes

YES

1276

833

[Metaculus] Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach majority in the Electoral college before 2030?

Nov 7, 2:31 PMJan 2, 8:00 AM

16.47%chance

12384

OptionVotes

YES

1107

961

Will Nebraska change it’s electoral college to winner take all before the end of 2026?

Sep 21, 6:17 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

34.73%chance

5382

OptionVotes

YES

1371

729

Will the Electoral College be actually or functionally abolished before the 2032 election?

Aug 19, 6:53 PMNov 3, 6:59 AM

19.46%chance

7260

OptionVotes

YES

203

Will there be an Electoral College tie by 2049?

Jul 26, 5:34 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

14.72%chance

5106

OptionVotes

YES

231

If a Democrat wins the Presidency while losing the popular vote, will Republicans turn against the Electoral College?

Feb 21, 3:34 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

59.33%chance

646

OptionVotes

YES

157

107

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Who will be voted President of the United States by the Electoral College in 2028?

Will either the 2024 or 2028 US presidential election result in an Electoral College tie?

Will JD Vance refuse to certify any electoral college votes in the 2028 election?

Will there be an electoral college majority in the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Will the US abolish the Electoral College for presidential elections by 2040?

Will the US effectively abolish the Electoral College for presidential elections by 2040?

Will a Democrat have the Electoral College advantage in any of the next three elections (2024, 2028, or 2032)?

[Metaculus] Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach majority in the Electoral college before 2030?

Will Nebraska change it’s electoral college to winner take all before the end of 2026?

Will the Electoral College be actually or functionally abolished before the 2032 election?

Will there be an Electoral College tie by 2049?

If a Democrat wins the Presidency while losing the popular vote, will Republicans turn against the Electoral College?

Latest stories

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