Energy Department News

6 months ago

Will Iran enrich uranium to weapons grade in 2026?

Dec 29, 11:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.45%chance

182964

OptionVotes

YES

2927

342

U.S. tests/uses nuclear weapon during Trump's presidency?

Nov 3, 11:51 PMJan 20, 11:59 AM

35.32%chance

20755

OptionVotes

YES

135

Will the DOE Hydrogen Shot Succeed in Reducing the Price of Renewable Hydrogen to $1/kg by 2030?

May 22, 1:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

30.58%chance

13469

OptionVotes

YES

1225

879

Will the US conduct a nuclear test before 2030?

Oct 30, 2:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17%chance

13430

OptionVotes

YES

221

What year will the cost of solar energy drop to 2 cents/kWh?

Mar 30, 2:14 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

7426

OptionProbability

2028-2029

2029-2030

2027-2028

2025-2026

2026-2027

2030-2031

2031-2032

2024-2025

2032-2033

2033-2034

2034-2035

2035-2036

2036-2037

Which prongs of the "3-3-3" economic plan will the Trump administration achieve by the end of Q1, 2028?

Dec 16, 7:20 PMJul 1, 3:59 AM

17386

OptionProbability

Increase domestic energy production by 3 million barrel of oil equivalents per day

Reduce budget deficit to 3% of GDP

Real GDP growth of 3% per annum

Will there be a fusion reactor generating electricity commercially by the end of 2035?

Dec 4, 1:01 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26%chance

9379

OptionVotes

YES

169

Will any of the proposals in Elizabeth Warren’s letter to DOGE be implemented by 2030?

Feb 1, 11:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5331

OptionProbability

Miscellaneous Savings Initiatives

Cutting Wasteful Spending at the Department of Defense (DoD)

Cutting Waste, Fraud, and Abuse in Federal Healthcare Programs

Improving Efficiency Across Federal Agencies

Targeting Tax Loopholes and Inefficiencies

☀️ 🏭 When will the US meet the goal of 2¢/kWh for utility-scale photovoltaics?

Dec 7, 3:52 PMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

10221

OptionProbability

2028-2030

2025-2027

Beyond 2030 (or never)

Before the end of 2024

USA and Russia back to bilateral trading in 2026?

Jan 6, 11:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21%chance

7221

OptionVotes

YES

194

☀️ 🏡 When will the US meet the goal of 5¢/kWh for residential photovoltaics?

Dec 7, 4:21 PMApr 15, 6:59 AM

5104

OptionProbability

2028-2030

Beyond 2030 (or never)

2025-2027

Before the end of 2024

Will the UK reach hydrogen-generated energy targets and related goals?

Jul 31, 5:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

OptionProbability

At least 1GW production capacity by 2025

At least 5GW production capacity by 2030

At least 10GW production capacity by 2035

Between 250-460TWh of hydrogen production by 2050

Less than 250TWh of hydrogen production by 2050

More than 460TWh of hydrogen production by 2050

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Will Iran enrich uranium to weapons grade in 2026?

U.S. tests/uses nuclear weapon during Trump's presidency?

Will the DOE Hydrogen Shot Succeed in Reducing the Price of Renewable Hydrogen to $1/kg by 2030?

Will the US conduct a nuclear test before 2030?

What year will the cost of solar energy drop to 2 cents/kWh?

Which prongs of the "3-3-3" economic plan will the Trump administration achieve by the end of Q1, 2028?

Will there be a fusion reactor generating electricity commercially by the end of 2035?

Will any of the proposals in Elizabeth Warren’s letter to DOGE be implemented by 2030?

☀️ 🏭 When will the US meet the goal of 2¢/kWh for utility-scale photovoltaics?

USA and Russia back to bilateral trading in 2026?

☀️ 🏡 When will the US meet the goal of 5¢/kWh for residential photovoltaics?

Will the UK reach hydrogen-generated energy targets and related goals?

Latest stories

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