Energy Department News

1 year ago

Donut Battery is essentially Lithium free?

Mar 4, 3:00 AMJan 1, 3:50 AM

22.57%chance

183788836

OptionVotes

YES

185221

53989

Will the US obtain the Iranian uranium?

Apr 1, 9:15 PMDec 31, 10:14 PM

8.39%chance

547571

OptionVotes

YES

3793

126

Will Iran enrich uranium to weapons grade in 2026?

Dec 29, 11:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.35%chance

245432

OptionVotes

YES

3840

260

Will there be an AI loss of control incident that causes over $100 million in damages in 2026?

Apr 1, 7:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.89%chance

324286

OptionVotes

YES

1764

715

Will the UK Government reverse its current stance by approving at least one new North Sea oil & gas licence in 2026?

Mar 28, 8:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.06%chance

164056

OptionVotes

YES

764

150

Will the US conduct a nuclear test before 2030?

Oct 30, 2:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.45%chance

18492

OptionVotes

YES

151

Will the DOE Hydrogen Shot Succeed in Reducing the Price of Renewable Hydrogen to $1/kg by 2030?

May 22, 1:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

30.58%chance

13469

OptionVotes

YES

1225

879

Will any of the proposals in Elizabeth Warren’s letter to DOGE be implemented by 2030?

Feb 1, 11:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5331

OptionProbability

Miscellaneous Savings Initiatives

Cutting Wasteful Spending at the Department of Defense (DoD)

Cutting Waste, Fraud, and Abuse in Federal Healthcare Programs

Improving Efficiency Across Federal Agencies

Targeting Tax Loopholes and Inefficiencies

USA and Russia back to bilateral trading in 2026?

Jan 6, 11:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.48%chance

7231

OptionVotes

YES

163

☀️ 🏡 When will the US meet the goal of 5¢/kWh for residential photovoltaics?

Dec 7, 4:21 PMApr 15, 6:59 AM

5104

OptionProbability

2028-2030

Beyond 2030 (or never)

2025-2027

Before the end of 2024

Will the second Trump administration fund AI?

Oct 7, 9:02 PMJan 20, 11:00 AM

75%chance

541

OptionVotes

YES

106

US announces another drawdown of Strategic Petroleum Reserve before December 1st

Oct 26, 12:24 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

54.75%chance

212

OptionVotes

YES

110

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Prediction markets for Energy Department

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Donut Battery is essentially Lithium free?

Will the US obtain the Iranian uranium?

Will Iran enrich uranium to weapons grade in 2026?

Will there be an AI loss of control incident that causes over $100 million in damages in 2026?

Will the UK Government reverse its current stance by approving at least one new North Sea oil & gas licence in 2026?

Will the US conduct a nuclear test before 2030?

Will the DOE Hydrogen Shot Succeed in Reducing the Price of Renewable Hydrogen to $1/kg by 2030?

Will any of the proposals in Elizabeth Warren’s letter to DOGE be implemented by 2030?

USA and Russia back to bilateral trading in 2026?

☀️ 🏡 When will the US meet the goal of 5¢/kWh for residential photovoltaics?

Will the second Trump administration fund AI?

US announces another drawdown of Strategic Petroleum Reserve before December 1st

Latest stories

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