Energy Department News

7 months ago

Donut Battery is essentially Lithium free?

Mar 4, 3:00 AMJan 1, 3:50 AM

22.95%chance

96116175

OptionVotes

YES

183210

54582

Will Iran enrich uranium to weapons grade in 2026?

Dec 29, 11:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.85%chance

193766

OptionVotes

YES

3687

271

Will the levelized cost of electricity from utility-scale solar PV be less than $20/MWh by 2030?

Dec 18, 1:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.64%chance

12516

OptionVotes

YES

223

Will the DOE Hydrogen Shot Succeed in Reducing the Price of Renewable Hydrogen to $1/kg by 2030?

May 22, 1:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

30.58%chance

13469

OptionVotes

YES

1225

879

Will the US conduct a nuclear test before 2030?

Oct 30, 2:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23%chance

17462

OptionVotes

YES

183

What year will the cost of solar energy drop to 2 cents/kWh?

Mar 30, 2:14 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

7426

OptionProbability

2028-2029

2029-2030

2027-2028

2025-2026

2026-2027

2030-2031

2031-2032

2024-2025

2032-2033

2033-2034

2034-2035

2035-2036

2036-2037

Which prongs of the "3-3-3" economic plan will the Trump administration achieve by the end of Q1, 2028?

Dec 16, 7:20 PMJul 1, 3:59 AM

17386

OptionProbability

Increase domestic energy production by 3 million barrel of oil equivalents per day

Reduce budget deficit to 3% of GDP

Real GDP growth of 3% per annum

Will any of the proposals in Elizabeth Warren’s letter to DOGE be implemented by 2030?

Feb 1, 11:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5331

OptionProbability

Miscellaneous Savings Initiatives

Cutting Wasteful Spending at the Department of Defense (DoD)

Cutting Waste, Fraud, and Abuse in Federal Healthcare Programs

Improving Efficiency Across Federal Agencies

Targeting Tax Loopholes and Inefficiencies

Second Trump administration holds at least one oil/gas sale for drilling in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge?

Jan 20, 8:15 AMJan 22, 7:59 AM

74.21%chance

580

OptionVotes

YES

170

Will Kazatomprom's uranium output allocated to India exceed 50% on April 1, 2026?

Mar 2, 6:12 PMApr 1, 6:11 PM

25.71%chance

170

OptionVotes

YES

170

Will the US enact export controls on energy products in 2026?

Mar 13, 1:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

36.28%chance

565

OptionVotes

YES

102

Will the UK reach hydrogen-generated energy targets and related goals?

Jul 31, 5:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

OptionProbability

At least 1GW production capacity by 2025

At least 5GW production capacity by 2030

At least 10GW production capacity by 2035

Between 250-460TWh of hydrogen production by 2050

Less than 250TWh of hydrogen production by 2050

More than 460TWh of hydrogen production by 2050

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Donut Battery is essentially Lithium free?

Will Iran enrich uranium to weapons grade in 2026?

Will the levelized cost of electricity from utility-scale solar PV be less than $20/MWh by 2030?

Will the DOE Hydrogen Shot Succeed in Reducing the Price of Renewable Hydrogen to $1/kg by 2030?

Will the US conduct a nuclear test before 2030?

What year will the cost of solar energy drop to 2 cents/kWh?

Which prongs of the "3-3-3" economic plan will the Trump administration achieve by the end of Q1, 2028?

Will any of the proposals in Elizabeth Warren’s letter to DOGE be implemented by 2030?

Second Trump administration holds at least one oil/gas sale for drilling in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge?

Will Kazatomprom's uranium output allocated to India exceed 50% on April 1, 2026?

Will the US enact export controls on energy products in 2026?

Will the UK reach hydrogen-generated energy targets and related goals?

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